TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142100
Played Sep 17Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116119811117
Michal Makara
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kaderabek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ondrej Kaderabek at 58.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 30–30 Michal Makara Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kaderabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-30 in 60
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1673 vs Makara 1655
Kaderabek
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 60% vs Makara 40%
Kaderabek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 60% vs Makara 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek +3 · Makara -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kaderabek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 1.61 / Makara 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kaderabek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142100
Kaderabek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 34 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Makara2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 157 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back25% 45 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaderabek5wins
AwayMakara5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabek57.1%4 of 7
AwayMakara66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek7Makara3n = 10Kaderabek took 7 of 10
S2Kaderabek5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S3Kaderabek3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S4Kaderabek5Makara3n = 8Kaderabek took 5 of 8
S5Kaderabek2Makara3n = 5Makara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaderabekMakaraK − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.4+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 392 vs 500 / 104851.5%47.7%202 / 392 vs 500 / 1048Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekKaderabek 1.61/Makara 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Kaderabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek45115111172M. Makara52911138113
LAug 2 · 09:15O. Kaderabek40102111162M. Makara42121153113
LAug 1 · 10:15O. Kaderabek193790M. Makara331111113
WJun 21 · 12:19O. Kaderabek501011711113M. Makara4112611392
LJun 21 · 09:15O. Kaderabek44111211372M. Makara538101311113
WJun 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek43111011113M. Makara34712781
LJun 15 · 07:45O. Kaderabek371188101M. Makara4391111123
WJun 13 · 12:00O. Kaderabek4211119113M. Makara27541171
WJun 6 · 12:45O. Kaderabek341211113M. Makara2610880
WJun 6 · 09:45O. Kaderabek48111178113M. Makara4367111182
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 17 · 12:48O. Kaderabek1.6111711852L. Svoboda2.20811611113WSep 17 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.101071181O. Kaderabek1.6712116113WSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123WSep 16 · 08:18O. Kaderabek2.637111110113M. Stibor1.4411981282LSep 16 · 07:15M. Stibor1.44911811113O. Kaderabek2.6311611792LSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113WSep 16 · 05:45O. Kaderabek2.101211910113L. Veigl1.67108111282LSep 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek2.75111113592P. Wasik1.40691511113LSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191WSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113
M. Makara10
WSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:15L. Svoboda1.5311121010113M. Makara2.38410121272LSep 16 · 08:44M. Makara2.001171112152L. Veigl1.731311710173WSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113WSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172LSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081LSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.