TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13137034
Played Sep 16Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101189111012118
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 56.2%
102 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 5–9 Lukas Veigl Ondrej Kaderabek has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Veigl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Veigl
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1639 vs Veigl 1721
Veigl
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 40% vs Veigl 60%
Veigl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 30% vs Veigl 60%
Veigl
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek -2 · Veigl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 2.10 / Veigl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Veigl)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13137034
Kaderabek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 38 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Veigl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaderabek4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVeigl75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek2Veigl8n = 10Veigl took 8 of 10
S2Kaderabek6Veigl4n = 10Kaderabek took 6 of 10
S3Kaderabek3Veigl7n = 10Veigl took 7 of 10
S4Kaderabek4Veigl4n = 8split evenly
S5Kaderabek2Veigl1n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaderabekVeiglK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.6−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 390 vs 279 / 53551.3%52.2%200 / 390 vs 279 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglKaderabek 2.10/Veigl 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kaderabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek3961111113L. Veigl36119881
LJul 31 · 05:15O. Kaderabek34911681L. Veigl3811511113
WMay 13 · 15:15O. Kaderabek547111411113L. Veigl5211916882
WJan 26 · 15:15O. Kaderabek49134128123L. Veigl5311111011102
LDec 3 · 14:45O. Kaderabek2367100L. Veigl341111123
LOct 2 · 05:45O. Kaderabek33671191L. Veigl4111118113
LOct 1 · 20:23O. Kaderabek365119111L. Veigl4411911133
LOct 1 · 18:15O. Kaderabek174670L. Veigl331111113
WSep 25 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3811115113L. Veigl31481181
LAug 16 · 06:15O. Kaderabek45312812102L. Veigl5411101110123
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113LSep 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek2.75111113592P. Wasik1.40691511113LSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191WSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113WSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113LSep 13 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.36111111123O. Kaderabek3.009135101LSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113
L. Veigl10
WSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor1.67116101192L. Veigl2.10911129113WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123LSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291WSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Kaderabek
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L. Veigl
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