TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136656
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Stibor
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1196111012119911
Lukas Veigl
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Stibor to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Stibor above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Michal Stibor at 55.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Stibor 6–7 Lukas Veigl Michal Stibor has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Stibor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stibor 1764 vs Veigl 1721
Stibor
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stibor 60% vs Veigl 40%
Stibor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stibor 60% vs Veigl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stibor -1 · Veigl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stibor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStibor 1.67 / Veigl 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stibor)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136656
Stibor1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 68 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it85% 45 of 53
Veigl2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 35 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStibor5wins
AwayVeigl5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStibor50%3 of 6
AwayVeigl50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stibor6Veigl4n = 10Stibor took 6 of 10
S2Stibor3Veigl7n = 10Veigl took 7 of 10
S3Stibor5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S4Stibor6Veigl2n = 8Stibor took 6 of 8
S5Stibor2Veigl3n = 5Veigl took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStiborVeiglS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.040.3+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStiborVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 326 vs 280 / 53753.4%52.1%174 / 326 vs 280 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StiborStibor 1.67/Veigl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Stibor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor47116101192L. Veigl52911129113
WJul 29 · 08:28M. Stibor46115811113L. Veigl4041111682
WJul 29 · 07:30M. Stibor4491113113L. Veigl341171151
LJul 21 · 08:14M. Stibor3711611452L. Veigl45411811113
WJul 21 · 07:15M. Stibor331111113L. Veigl229850
WFeb 10 · 08:45M. Stibor50871113113L. Veigl45111171152
LFeb 9 · 11:30M. Stibor4311781162L. Veigl48611119113
WJan 8 · 09:12M. Stibor4312911113L. Veigl351011951
LJan 8 · 06:15M. Stibor2477100L. Veigl341111123
LNov 10 · 14:30M. Stibor431313981L. Veigl48151111113
M. Stibor10
WSep 16 · 07:15M. Stibor1.44911811113O. Kaderabek2.6311611792LSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:15M. Stibor1.801111114123L. Svoboda1.91813511102LSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123WSep 11 · 05:15M. Stibor1.6711811113L. Adam2.10911971LSep 9 · 12:48M. Zelinka1.6781111113M. Stibor2.10116671WSep 9 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.80114471M. Stibor1.9161111113WSep 9 · 10:45M. Stibor2.2011811113L. Dobias1.61311691WSep 9 · 09:45M. Stibor2.2011811133M. Zelinka1.617111111
L. Veigl10
LSep 16 · 05:45O. Kaderabek2.101211910113L. Veigl1.67108111282WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123LSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291WSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113WSep 8 · 09:30R. Pisa2.2081111932L. Veigl1.61117311113LSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113
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