TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134202
Played Sep 15Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161191315511911
Petr Wasik
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Petr Wasik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11
101 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 1–3 Petr Wasik Ondrej Kaderabek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Wasik beat Kaderabek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 2.75 / Wasik 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Wasik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13134202
Kaderabek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 37 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back31% 12 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Wasik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 47 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKaderabek1wins
AwayWasik3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderWasik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaderabekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayWasik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek1Wasik3n = 4Wasik took 3 of 4
S2Kaderabek2Wasik2n = 4split evenly
S3Kaderabek1Wasik3n = 4Wasik took 3 of 4
S4Kaderabek0Wasik3n = 3Wasik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKaderabekWasikK − WBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.241.2−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekWasikBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 393 vs 82 / 13651.2%60.3%201 / 393 vs 82 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikKaderabek 2.75/Wasik 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 15 · 07:45O. Kaderabek37981191P. Wasik4211119113
LMay 26 · 11:15O. Kaderabek359132111P. Wasik46111111133
LMay 19 · 12:14O. Kaderabek197570P. Wasik331111113
WMay 19 · 11:15O. Kaderabek46111183133P. Wasik44651111112
O. Kaderabek10
LSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191WSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113WSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113LSep 13 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.36111111123O. Kaderabek3.009135101LSep 13 · 07:15O. Kaderabek3.25511851J. Chalupa1.3311811113LSep 13 · 06:15O. Kaderabek1.918580D. Gasparovic1.801111113LSep 13 · 05:15O. Kaderabek1.5051120L. Svoboda2.501113113LAug 2 · 12:45O. Kaderabek2.1011127982L. Heinzl1.677101111113WAug 2 · 11:45L. Rulc1.83111050O. Kaderabek1.831312113WAug 2 · 10:45L. Heinzl1.441061181O. Kaderabek2.6312119113
P. Wasik10
WSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191LSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062WSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113LSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892WSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113
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