TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106040
Played Sep 10Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114112––––
Lukas Heinzl
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Petr Wasik at 60.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 6–4 Lukas Heinzl Lukas Heinzl has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wasik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Wasik
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1797 vs Heinzl 1695
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 40% vs Heinzl 60%
Heinzl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 60% vs Heinzl 40%
Wasik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -2 · Heinzl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.57 / Heinzl 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Wasik)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106040
Wasik1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Heinzl2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 47 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik6wins
AwayHeinzl4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWasik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik80%4 of 5
AwayHeinzl60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik5Heinzl5n = 10split evenly
S2Wasik6Heinzl4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S3Wasik4Heinzl6n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S4Wasik4Heinzl3n = 7Wasik took 4 of 7
S5Wasik3Heinzl1n = 4Wasik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikHeinzlW − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.434.9+3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 132 vs 358 / 65660.6%54.6%80 / 132 vs 358 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.57/Heinzl 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik—1211113L. Heinzl—10420
LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik—1410981L. Heinzl—121211113
LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik—711881L. Heinzl—11811113
LAug 21 · 10:15P. Wasik—81191152L. Heinzl—118113113
WJul 3 · 05:15P. Wasik—111111113L. Heinzl—841371
LJun 23 · 10:00P. Wasik—0870L. Heinzl—1111113
WMay 29 · 07:15P. Wasik—931111113L. Heinzl—11113682
WMar 9 · 09:35P. Wasik—111169113L. Heinzl—93111182
WMar 9 · 08:15P. Wasik—581111113L. Heinzl—11115552
WFeb 9 · 08:15P. Wasik—1111113L. Heinzl—4780
P. Wasik10
LSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681
L. Heinzl10
WSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892LSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.25111011113L. Dobias1.57812981WSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113LSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113WSep 8 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.835980L. Heinzl1.831111113LSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LSep 7 · 08:49M. Zelinka1.8311812113L. Heinzl1.839111091LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.