TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13108412
Played Sep 10Finished
Lukas Heinzl
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1157111214118119
Petr Wasik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Heinzl above · Petr Wasik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9
99 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Heinzl 5–6 Petr Wasik Lukas Heinzl has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Wasik beat Heinzl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeinzl 2.50 / Wasik 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Wasik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13108412
Heinzl2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 47 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Wasik1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 48 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeinzl5wins
AwayWasik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeinzl66.7%4 of 6
AwayWasik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heinzl6Wasik4n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S2Heinzl4Wasik6n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S3Heinzl6Wasik4n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S4Heinzl4Wasik4n = 8split evenly
S5Heinzl2Wasik3n = 5Wasik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeinzlWasikH − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.8−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeinzlWasikBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 657 vs 80 / 13354.6%60.2%359 / 657 vs 80 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikHeinzl 2.50/Wasik 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl—1171211113P. Wasik—51114892
LSep 10 · 07:15L. Heinzl—10420P. Wasik—1211113
WSep 7 · 06:15L. Heinzl—121211113P. Wasik—1410981
WAug 26 · 10:15L. Heinzl—11811113P. Wasik—711881
WAug 21 · 10:15L. Heinzl—118113113P. Wasik—81191152
LJul 3 · 05:15L. Heinzl—841371P. Wasik—111111113
WJun 23 · 10:00L. Heinzl—1111113P. Wasik—0870
LMay 29 · 07:15L. Heinzl—11113682P. Wasik—931111113
LMar 9 · 09:35L. Heinzl—93111182P. Wasik—111169113
LMar 9 · 08:15L. Heinzl—11115552P. Wasik—581111113
L. Heinzl10
LSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.831261051M. Zelinka1.83101112113WSep 10 · 05:45L. Heinzl2.25111011113L. Dobias1.57812981WSep 8 · 08:48V. Grubr2.25711671L. Heinzl1.5711511113LSep 8 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.611011871V. Grubr2.2012711113WSep 8 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.835980L. Heinzl1.831111113LSep 8 · 05:45L. Dobias1.53111111113L. Heinzl2.38139771LSep 7 · 08:49M. Zelinka1.8311812113L. Heinzl1.839111091LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113
P. Wasik10
WSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681
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