TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130822
Played Sep 15Finished
Lukas Adam
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11371111131210116
Petr Wasik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Adam above · Petr Wasik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Petr Wasik at 70.4%
95 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Adam 3–7 Petr Wasik Lukas Adam has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Wasik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1750 vs Wasik 1782
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Wasik 40%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 60% vs Wasik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -1 · Wasik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 3.00 / Wasik 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Wasik)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13130822
Adam3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Wasik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 47 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam3wins
AwayWasik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWasik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam50%3 of 6
AwayWasik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam6Wasik4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S2Adam0Wasik10n = 10Wasik took 10 of 10
S3Adam2Wasik8n = 10Wasik took 8 of 10
S4Adam3Wasik4n = 7Wasik took 4 of 7
S5Adam3Wasik1n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamWasikA − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.5−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamWasikBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 551 vs 81 / 13551.9%60%286 / 551 vs 81 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikAdam 3.00/Wasik 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam521171112113P. Wasik43311131062
LAug 19 · 10:15L. Adam33116791P. Wasik4291111113
LAug 14 · 05:15L. Adam3411101121P. Wasik4213126113
LJun 23 · 12:33L. Adam237970P. Wasik331111113
WJun 23 · 10:30L. Adam511110118113P. Wasik4151271162
LMay 20 · 12:54L. Adam4111961142P. Wasik49811118113
WMay 20 · 10:15L. Adam49118811113P. Wasik4891111982
LMar 11 · 14:15L. Adam181980P. Wasik331111113
LFeb 18 · 13:23L. Adam2147100P. Wasik331111113
LFeb 18 · 12:15L. Adam31116681P. Wasik4181111113
L. Adam10
LSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113WSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101LSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123WSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113WSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113LSep 11 · 05:15M. Stibor1.6711811113L. Adam2.10911971WSep 7 · 12:23M. Vyskocil2.6311681182L. Adam1.44811117113
P. Wasik10
WSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113LSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892WSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113WSep 7 · 08:18L. Veigl2.758670P. Wasik1.401111113WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113
Upcoming Matches
L. Adam
Nothing scheduled
P. Wasik
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