TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13139446
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Makara
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111371111712101517
Lukas Veigl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 15-17
Point 114 set 5, 15-17
114 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 28–30 Lukas Veigl Michal Makara has won 28 of their 58 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Makara beat Veigl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 2.00 / Veigl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Veigl)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13139446
Makara2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 158 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back25% 44 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Veigl1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 59 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara50%3 of 6
AwayVeigl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara6Veigl4n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S2Makara4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S3Makara5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara2Veigl4n = 6Veigl took 4 of 6
S5Makara1Veigl2n = 3Veigl took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraVeiglM − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.3−1.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 1045 vs 280 / 53847.9%52%500 / 1045 vs 280 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglMakara 2.00/Veigl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 07:45M. Makara351311113L. Veigl1911710
LSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara39138991L. Veigl44111111113
LJul 30 · 08:49M. Makara4279111142L. Veigl49111188113
WJul 30 · 05:15M. Makara52111388123L. Veigl496111111102
LJul 29 · 07:00M. Makara351294101L. Veigl44101111123
LJun 14 · 16:34M. Makara217860L. Veigl331111113
LJun 14 · 14:30M. Makara41111011632L. Veigl49712811113
WMay 10 · 17:45M. Makara331111113L. Veigl187650
LMay 10 · 12:50M. Makara197570L. Veigl331111113
WMay 10 · 11:45M. Makara44111111113L. Veigl35139851
M. Makara10
WSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.61115111172M. Makara2.20911138113WSep 16 · 05:15M. Stibor1.36811111172M. Makara3.00116135113WSep 14 · 16:43M. Makara1.911111117113R. Pisa1.8081361172LSep 14 · 15:45R. Pisa1.7313712113M. Makara2.0011111081LSep 14 · 14:45S. Rejent1.67131158113M. Makara2.10116111182WSep 14 · 13:15O. Mezera2.2069111582M. Makara1.611111813113LSep 13 · 11:45T. Liska2.251611113M. Makara1.5714890WSep 13 · 10:45O. Mezera2.2511147101M. Makara1.5771611123WSep 13 · 09:15M. Vyskocil2.1010560M. Makara1.671211113
L. Veigl10
LSep 16 · 07:45L. Veigl1.8311710M. Makara1.831311113WSep 16 · 06:15M. Stibor1.67116101192L. Veigl2.10911129113LSep 16 · 05:45O. Kaderabek2.101211910113L. Veigl1.67108111282WSep 10 · 08:33L. Veigl1.6714117113J. Senk2.101291191LSep 10 · 08:00L. Veigl1.6710118101R. Pisa2.1012711123LSep 10 · 06:30M. Kocvara1.80111110113L. Veigl1.91881291WSep 10 · 06:00J. Senk2.1079100L. Veigl1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:58L. Veigl1.911111113T. Liska1.807690WSep 8 · 12:00T. Liska2.101015771L. Veigl1.67121311113WSep 8 · 11:00M. Makara1.91138991L. Veigl1.80111111113
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