TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13134098
Played Sep 15Finished
Ladislav Dobias
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911811711––
Lukas Adam
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 31–24 Lukas Adam Lukas Adam has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dobias beat Adam 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.73 / Adam 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dobias)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13134098
Dobias1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 200 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 141 of 177
Adam2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 53 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back24% 14 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias5wins
AwayAdam5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias75%3 of 4
AwayAdam66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S2Dobias6Adam4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S3Dobias6Adam4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S4Dobias4Adam2n = 6Dobias took 4 of 6
S5Dobias1Adam3n = 4Adam took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasAdamD − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.8+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 754 vs 285 / 55155.6%51.7%419 / 754 vs 285 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.73/Adam 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 07:15L. Dobias331111113L. Adam219390
LSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias257990L. Adam331111113
LAug 20 · 08:18L. Dobias48111111872L. Adam52138911113
WAug 20 · 05:45L. Dobias49711911113L. Adam3711411382
LAug 14 · 06:45L. Dobias4361111872L. Adam46116711113
WJul 29 · 06:45L. Dobias3741111113L. Adam31117761
WJul 21 · 08:43L. Dobias4211911113L. Adam34711791
LJul 21 · 07:45L. Dobias2676130L. Adam371111153
WJul 17 · 08:49L. Dobias361111143L. Adam2989120
LJul 17 · 07:45L. Dobias3911541182L. Adam48911116113
L. Dobias10
WSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113LSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113LSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113WSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113WSep 14 · 07:45L. Dobias1.7310111011113M. Vyskocil2.0012812572LSep 14 · 06:15L. Rulc2.2571111153L. Dobias1.571169131WSep 14 · 05:45T. Liska2.38871151L. Dobias1.5311119113WSep 11 · 08:13L. Dobias1.6111117133L. Svoboda2.207911111LSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:15M. Stibor2.1064100L. Dobias1.671111123
L. Adam10
LSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113WSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062LSep 15 · 05:15L. Adam2.0011891192O. Kaderabek1.73411115113WSep 11 · 16:54L. Adam2.2071111123D. Gasparovic1.611188101LSep 11 · 15:45L. Adam1.67911912102M. Makara2.101171110123WSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113WSep 11 · 13:45D. Gasparovic1.4011981152L. Adam2.75411113113LSep 11 · 08:43L. Adam2.107750M. Stibor1.671111113WSep 11 · 07:45L. Dobias1.737990L. Adam2.001111113WSep 11 · 06:45L. Svoboda1.9161311562L. Adam1.801111811113
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