TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142028
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Bouska
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
161412101214711711
Ladislav Dobias
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Bouska to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 114 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Bouska at 58.1%
114 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bouska 7–5 Ladislav Dobias Ladislav Dobias has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bouska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Bouska
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bouska 1728 vs Dobias 1730
Dobias
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bouska 0% vs Dobias 40%
Dobias
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bouska 30% vs Dobias 50%
Dobias
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bouska -5 · Dobias -1
Bouska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bouska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bouska form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBouska 1.61 / Dobias 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Bouska)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142028
Bouska1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Dobias2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 23 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBouska6wins
AwayDobias4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBouska leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBouska100%4 of 4
AwayDobias66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bouska4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S2Bouska7Dobias3n = 10Bouska took 7 of 10
S3Bouska5Dobias5n = 10split evenly
S4Bouska5Dobias4n = 9Bouska took 5 of 9
S5Bouska2Dobias1n = 3Bouska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBouskaDobiasB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.436.7+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBouskaDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 56 vs 419 / 75555.4%55.5%31 / 56 vs 419 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.841.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaBouska 1.61/Dobias 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 08:23M. Bouska32511791L. Dobias3811511113
WJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska5610111112123L. Dobias521271310102
WMar 17 · 09:18M. Bouska44111111113L. Dobias25431351
WMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska4071111113L. Dobias34119681
WMar 12 · 09:43M. Bouska491111511113L. Dobias4151311572
LMar 12 · 06:45M. Bouska411311981L. Dobias4215511113
LMar 6 · 07:15M. Bouska30771151L. Dobias3811115113
WFeb 20 · 09:25M. Bouska331111113L. Dobias216690
LFeb 20 · 08:15M. Bouska44101111662L. Dobias45129211113
WNov 15 · 09:45M. Bouska45131011113L. Dobias311112711
M. Bouska10
LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska1.57991261J. Chalupa2.25111110113LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690LJul 18 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0091111113M. Bouska1.73112881LJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791LJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113WJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska1.5710111112123L. Dobias2.251271310102LJul 15 · 05:15M. Bouska1.73101111782V. Burylov2.00129711113WMar 17 · 09:18L. Dobias2.10431351M. Bouska1.67111111113WMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska1.7371111113L. Dobias2.00119681
L. Dobias10
WSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113LSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113WSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113LSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113LSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113WSep 14 · 08:53M. Vyskocil2.205790L. Dobias1.611111113WJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791LJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska1.5710111112123L. Dobias2.251271310102LMar 17 · 09:18L. Dobias2.10431351M. Bouska1.67111111113LMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska1.7371111113L. Dobias2.00119681
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