Martin Bouska vs Josef Chalupa 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12255540

Played Jul 18Finished

Martin Bouska

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

9119111210611––

Josef Chalupa

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Josef Chalupa below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 79 set 4, 6-11

79 points played in total.

H2H Martin Bouska 5–1 Josef Chalupa Josef Chalupa has won 1 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 5–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bouska)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bouska form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBouska 1.57 / Chalupa 2.25

Signal prob.63% / 37%

Edge (Bouska)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #12255540

Bouska1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite55% won 11 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7

Chalupa2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog55% won 22 of 40

Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeBouska5wins

AwayChalupa1wins

2 of 6 to a deciderBouska leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBouska100%4 of 4

AwayChalupan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Bouska4Chalupa2n = 6Bouska took 4 of 6

S2Bouska1Chalupa5n = 6Chalupa took 5 of 6

S3Bouska6Chalupa0n = 6Bouska took 6 of 6

S4Bouska3Chalupa3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home350%

3–2Decider, home233%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricBouskaChalupaB − CBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match44.741.7+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBouskaChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 72 vs 211 / 37652.8%56.1%38 / 72 vs 211 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bouska

Bouska 1.57/Chalupa 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62.9%

Bouska · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Chalupa won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska—991261J. Chalupa—111110113

WMar 17 · 06:15M. Bouska—11911113J. Chalupa—811791

WOct 3 · 06:45M. Bouska—11611113J. Chalupa—611841

WSep 2 · 06:45M. Bouska—128119113J. Chalupa—101191182

WSep 1 · 16:23M. Bouska—911157123J. Chalupa—1181311102

WSep 1 · 14:45M. Bouska—111212113J. Chalupa—9141081

M. Bouska10

LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113 LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690 LJul 18 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0091111113M. Bouska1.73112881 LJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791 LJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113 WJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska1.5710111112123L. Dobias2.251271310102 LJul 15 · 05:15M. Bouska1.73101111782V. Burylov2.00129711113 WMar 17 · 09:18L. Dobias2.10431351M. Bouska1.67111111113 WMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska1.7371111113L. Dobias2.00119681 WMar 17 · 07:15M. Bouska1.5371311113L. Adam2.381111741

J. Chalupa10

WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071 LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113 WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113 LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791 WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111 LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982 WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113 LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992 LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113 LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111

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