Martin Bouska vs Ladislav Dobias 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12226666

Played Jul 15Finished

Martin Bouska

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1012117111312101210

Ladislav Dobias

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMartin Bouska above · Ladislav Dobias below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-13

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 108 set 5, 12-10

108 points played in total.

H2H Martin Bouska 7–5 Ladislav Dobias Ladislav Dobias has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Bouska)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Bouska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBouska 1.57 / Dobias 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Bouska)+1.0pp

Setka Cup · #12226666

Bouska1.57

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite61% won 11 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6

Dobias2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog54% won 41 of 76

Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33

Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBouska6wins

AwayDobias4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderBouska leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBouska100%4 of 4

AwayDobias66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Bouska4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10

S2Bouska7Dobias3n = 10Bouska took 7 of 10

S3Bouska5Dobias5n = 10split evenly

S4Bouska5Dobias4n = 9Bouska took 5 of 9

S5Bouska2Dobias1n = 3Bouska took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricBouskaDobiasB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.436.7+4.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBouskaDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 124 vs 324 / 59154%54.8%67 / 124 vs 324 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.341.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bouska

Bouska 1.57/Dobias 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.9%

Bouska · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Bouska won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 15 · 08:23M. Bouska—511791L. Dobias—11511113

WJul 15 · 06:15M. Bouska—10111112123L. Dobias—1271310102

WMar 17 · 09:18M. Bouska—111111113L. Dobias—431351

WMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska—71111113L. Dobias—119681

WMar 12 · 09:43M. Bouska—1111511113L. Dobias—51311572

LMar 12 · 06:45M. Bouska—1311981L. Dobias—15511113

LMar 6 · 07:15M. Bouska—771151L. Dobias—11115113

WFeb 20 · 09:25M. Bouska—1111113L. Dobias—6690

LFeb 20 · 08:15M. Bouska—101111662L. Dobias—129211113

WNov 15 · 09:45M. Bouska—131011113L. Dobias—1112711

M. Bouska10

LJul 18 · 08:33M. Bouska2.6311136992J. Makara1.445111111113 LJul 18 · 07:45M. Bouska1.57991261J. Chalupa2.25111110113 LJul 18 · 06:15J. Makara1.731111113M. Bouska2.007690 LJul 18 · 05:45V. Burylov2.0091111113M. Bouska1.73112881 LJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791 LJul 15 · 07:15M. Bouska2.38101191192T. Hlavacek1.53125118113 LJul 15 · 05:15M. Bouska1.73101111782V. Burylov2.00129711113 WMar 17 · 09:18L. Dobias2.10431351M. Bouska1.67111111113 WMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska1.7371111113L. Dobias2.00119681 WMar 17 · 07:15M. Bouska1.5371311113L. Adam2.381111741

L. Dobias10

LAug 28 · 08:23L. Dobias1.57117681M. Zelinka2.2591111113 WAug 28 · 07:45L. Dobias1.73911913113V. Burylov2.00115111192 LAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681 LAug 28 · 05:45M. Zelinka2.1081111123L. Dobias1.671194101 WAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062 LAug 26 · 11:45L. Heinzl2.251213113L. Dobias1.57101190 WAug 26 · 10:45M. Kocvara2.5031111982L. Dobias1.50119611113 WJul 15 · 08:23L. Dobias2.2511511113M. Bouska1.57511791 LMar 17 · 09:18L. Dobias2.10431351M. Bouska1.67111111113 LMar 17 · 08:15M. Bouska1.7371111113L. Dobias2.00119681

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