TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13120053
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611911511––
Ales Brandtl Snr
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Ales Brandtl Snr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 2–2 Ales Brandtl Snr Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Snr beat Burylov 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.80 / Snr 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13120053
Burylov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 48 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it65% 32 of 49
Snr1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 4 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBurylov2wins
AwaySnr2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov66.7%2 of 3
AwaySnrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov3Snr1n = 4Burylov took 3 of 4
S2Burylov2Snr2n = 4split evenly
S3Burylov1Snr3n = 4Snr took 3 of 4
S4Burylov2Snr2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBurylovSnrB − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.541.8−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 398 vs 12 / 3850%31.6%199 / 398 vs 12 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.80/Snr 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 12 · 11:15V. Burylov381171191A. Snr4491113113
WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov4211911113A. Snr34611891
LJul 10 · 20:13V. Burylov376118121A. Snr4511911143
WJul 10 · 18:45V. Burylov4511165133A. Snr4481411111
V. Burylov10
LSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113LSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
A. Snr10
WSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113LSep 12 · 09:15A. Snr1.6711611982M. Makara2.10611511113LSep 11 · 16:24M. Makara2.25111199113A. Snr1.5768111172LSep 11 · 15:15A. Snr2.758115131D. Gasparovic1.4011711153LSep 11 · 14:15A. Snr2.108860L. Adam1.671111113WSep 11 · 13:15A. Snr1.671111113M. Makara2.105850LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113
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