TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13153579
Played Sep 18Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15137111012116115
Ladislav Dobias
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 101 set 5, 11-5
101 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 21–25 Ladislav Dobias Volodymyr Burylov has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dobias beat Burylov 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.91 / Dobias 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dobias)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13153579
Burylov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 40 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back40% 15 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back29% 5 of 17
Dobias1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 203 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 144 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov3wins
AwayDobias7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDobias leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov25%1 of 4
AwayDobias66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov4Dobias6n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S2Burylov3Dobias7n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S3Burylov7Dobias3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Burylov1Dobias7n = 8Dobias took 7 of 8
S5Burylov2Dobias2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovDobiasB − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.543.3−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 402 vs 422 / 75749.8%55.8%200 / 402 vs 422 / 757Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.741.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasBurylov 1.91/Dobias 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 10:00V. Burylov30810120L. Dobias371112143
LAug 28 · 07:45V. Burylov47115111192L. Dobias53911913113
LAug 21 · 10:45V. Burylov3951311101L. Dobias4211154123
WJul 31 · 08:13V. Burylov341111123L. Dobias2165100
WJul 31 · 05:45V. Burylov50911118113L. Dobias4211761172
LJul 28 · 06:15V. Burylov4411711962L. Dobias48611911113
WJul 27 · 19:45V. Burylov597131311153L. Dobias561115116132
LJul 21 · 15:45V. Burylov4313111181L. Dobias4615713113
LJul 20 · 16:43V. Burylov401487111L. Dobias47121111133
LJul 20 · 15:45V. Burylov29551181L. Dobias4111118113
V. Burylov10
LSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113LSep 18 · 10:00L. Dobias1.801112143V. Burylov1.91810120LSep 12 · 12:17V. Burylov1.80116951A. Snr1.9181111113LSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 10:45V. Burylov1.80111071182M. Makara1.91612119113LSep 12 · 09:45V. Burylov1.9110590L. Svoboda1.801211103WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133
L. Dobias10
LSep 18 · 11:30L. Svoboda2.2013114143L. Dobias1.6111911121LSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113WSep 18 · 10:00L. Dobias1.801112143V. Burylov1.91810120WSep 17 · 08:48L. Veigl2.10109111142L. Dobias1.67121175113WSep 17 · 07:45L. Dobias1.6711411173L. Veigl2.106114151WSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113WSep 17 · 05:45M. Bouska1.61161212772L. Dobias2.2014101411113LSep 15 · 08:18L. Dobias1.73119871L. Adam2.0071111113WSep 15 · 07:15L. Adam2.009390L. Dobias1.731111113LSep 15 · 06:45L. Dobias1.8013391172O. Kaderabek1.911111115113
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