TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147041
Played Sep 18Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119118117––
Jakub Pilch
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radomir Revay at 73.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 16–4 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-4 in 20
Revay
Correct
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1863 vs Pilch 1772
Revay
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 60% vs Pilch 40%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 60% vs Pilch 40%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +2 · Pilch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.36 / Pilch 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Revay)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147041
Revay1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 75 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it77% 52 of 68
Pilch3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay8wins
AwayPilch2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRevay leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay71.4%5 of 7
AwayPilch0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay7Pilch3n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S2Revay6Pilch4n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Revay8Pilch2n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Revay3Pilch3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayPilchR − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.032.3+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 586 vs 225 / 44452.2%50.7%306 / 586 vs 225 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayRevay 1.36/Pilch 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay341211113J. Pilch2610970
WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay351311113J. Pilch2111460
WSep 10 · 09:30R. Revay331111113J. Pilch184860
WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay491061111113J. Pilch4112115942
LJul 24 · 07:30R. Revay351167111J. Pilch3941111133
WJun 15 · 11:00R. Revay391117113J. Pilch2951590
WJun 15 · 09:28R. Revay45115117113J. Pilch4151171172
WJun 15 · 07:00R. Revay4291111113J. Pilch29115851
WMay 1 · 13:00R. Revay4071111113J. Pilch34119681
LMay 1 · 12:30R. Revay381310961J. Pilch45111211113
R. Revay10
LSep 18 · 09:29R. Revay1.9171111992P. Wawrosz1.80119411113WSep 18 · 08:00T. Zika1.833790R. Revay1.831111113WSep 18 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.806117161R. Revay1.9111311183LSep 18 · 06:30R. Revay1.9181161172R. Polasek1.80115114113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Vavrecka1.807111111112R. Revay1.91114138133LSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113LSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113
J. Pilch10
WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123WSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460LSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113WSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113
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