TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145621
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117117112––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 68 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 45–33 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 33 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-33 in 78
Pilch
Correct
gap of 12 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1763 vs Zika 1787
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 40% vs Zika 20%
Pilch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 40% vs Zika 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch -2 · Zika -4
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.91 / Zika 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Zika)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145621
Pilch1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Zika1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayZika6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch100%3 of 3
AwayZika85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Pilch7Zika3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Pilch3Zika4n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.7−2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 439 vs 795 / 172650.3%46.1%221 / 439 vs 795 / 1726Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPilch 1.91/Zika 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 09:28J. Pilch2361250T. Zika361114113
LJun 17 · 06:30J. Pilch29711651T. Zika4111811113
LJun 12 · 12:30J. Pilch4241181182T. Zika47118116113
LMay 1 · 11:30J. Pilch30811291T. Zika4111811113
WApr 30 · 14:30J. Pilch4511158113T. Zika397131181
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Pilch228860T. Zika331111113
WApr 23 · 11:30J. Pilch331111113T. Zika229580
WApr 22 · 07:00J. Pilch49711119113T. Zika4111861152
LMar 16 · 13:30J. Pilch4110111191T. Zika4212613113
WMar 13 · 11:30J. Pilch4111811113T. Zika35911871
J. Pilch10
LSep 18 · 10:00R. Revay1.3671111113J. Pilch3.00119871LSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123WSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460LSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113WSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113
T. Zika10
LSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133LSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561LSep 18 · 08:00T. Zika1.833790R. Revay1.831111113LSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192LSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika1.73129111072P. Wawrosz2.001011812113WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113
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