TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145625
Played Sep 18Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711911––––
Radomir Revay
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 55.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 67–63 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 63 of their 130 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Revay
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-63 in 130
Zika
Wrong
gap of 4 in 130, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1834 vs Revay 1850
Revay
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 20% vs Revay 40%
Revay
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 50% vs Revay 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -2 · Revay +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.83 / Revay 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zika)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145625
Zika1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Revay1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika6wins
AwayRevay4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika66.7%4 of 6
AwayRevay50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Revay4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika7Revay3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S4Zika3Revay5n = 8Revay took 5 of 8
S5Zika3Revay2n = 5Zika took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaRevayZ − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.6+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1724 vs 305 / 58546.1%52.1%795 / 1724 vs 305 / 585Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaZika 1.83/Revay 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:58T. Zika371112143R. Revay31910120
WSep 3 · 07:30T. Zika47141156113R. Revay47126111172
WSep 2 · 07:00T. Zika4251114123R. Revay4111812101
LAug 31 · 21:00T. Zika4111471182R. Revay43611114113
WAug 31 · 18:30T. Zika331111113R. Revay228770
LAug 31 · 17:30T. Zika5191171592R. Revay491131113113
WAug 31 · 14:00T. Zika46911114113R. Revay4211681162
LAug 28 · 06:30T. Zika371197101R. Revay4281111123
WAug 27 · 13:30T. Zika55111276193R. Revay545101111172
LAug 27 · 12:30T. Zika3641011111R. Revay4511129133
T. Zika10
LSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika1.73129111072P. Wawrosz2.001011812113WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113
R. Revay10
WSep 18 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.806117161R. Revay1.9111311183LSep 18 · 06:30R. Revay1.9181161172R. Polasek1.80115114113WSep 14 · 08:58M. Vavrecka1.807111111112R. Revay1.91114138133LSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113LSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460
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