TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145622
Played Sep 18Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12109111181012711
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 30–27 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 27 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zika
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-27 in 57
Zika
Wrong
gap of 3 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1845 vs Wawrosz 1727
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 60% vs Wawrosz 20%
Zika
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 70% vs Wawrosz 40%
Zika
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika +1 · Wawrosz -4
Wawrosz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.73 / Wawrosz 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Zika)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145622
Zika1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Wawrosz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 44 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back33% 13 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika7wins
AwayWawrosz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika71.4%5 of 7
AwayWawrosz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika7Wawrosz3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Zika4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S3Zika7Wawrosz3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Zika7Wawrosz2n = 9Zika took 7 of 9
S5Zika1Wawrosz2n = 3Wawrosz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaWawroszZ − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.538.1+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1723 vs 220 / 43946.1%50.1%795 / 1723 vs 220 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaZika 1.73/Wawrosz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wawrosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika49129111072P. Wawrosz521011812113
WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika4291111113P. Wawrosz34118871
WSep 4 · 09:00T. Zika4415711113P. Wawrosz381311771
LSep 4 · 07:00T. Zika3651151142P. Wawrosz47116118113
WSep 2 · 06:30T. Zika331111113P. Wawrosz217680
WAug 26 · 20:58T. Zika4011711113P. Wawrosz31911651
WAug 26 · 19:30T. Zika43111011113P. Wawrosz38912981
LAug 20 · 16:30T. Zika3811101071P. Wawrosz4381212113
WAug 19 · 09:30T. Zika521181111113P. Wawrosz4513118852
WAug 19 · 07:30T. Zika3811115113P. Wawrosz32661191
T. Zika10
WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113WSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 18 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.806117161R. Revay1.9111311183LSep 17 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.441111113P. Wawrosz2.639470LSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8335100R. Polasek1.831111123LSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.571111113P. Wawrosz2.257940WSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 20:00M. Navedla1.9161171112P. Wawrosz1.80119113113WSep 16 · 19:00L. Prikasky1.83111110972P. Wawrosz1.83981211113WSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 14 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.781211511113P. Wawrosz1.9314811692
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