TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146480
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114117––––
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 59.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 14–5 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-5 in 19
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1875 vs Wawrosz 1737
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 20% vs Wawrosz 60%
Wawrosz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 40% vs Wawrosz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski -1 · Wawrosz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.44 / Wawrosz 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Szotkowski)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146480
Szotkowski1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 129 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it73% 102 of 139
Wawrosz2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 44 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back33% 13 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski7wins
AwayWawrosz3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski80%4 of 5
AwayWawrosz40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S2Szotkowski9Wawrosz1n = 10Szotkowski took 9 of 10
S3Szotkowski5Wawrosz5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski3Wawrosz5n = 8Wawrosz took 5 of 8
S5Szotkowski4Wawrosz2n = 6Szotkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiWawroszS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.839.6+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 825 vs 219 / 43652%50.2%429 / 825 vs 219 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.44/Wawrosz 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski331111113P. Wawrosz207940
WSep 14 · 13:00J. Szotkowski501211511113P. Wawrosz4814811692
WSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski531111910123P. Wawrosz46671112102
WAug 20 · 17:28J. Szotkowski351311113P. Wawrosz1911530
LAug 20 · 15:00J. Szotkowski399137101P. Wawrosz45111111123
WJul 28 · 13:00J. Szotkowski48111169113P. Wawrosz4268111162
WJul 28 · 10:30J. Szotkowski4391112113P. Wawrosz361161091
WJul 9 · 17:29J. Szotkowski50981111113P. Wawrosz4011114862
LJul 9 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4713116892P. Wawrosz511171111113
LJun 23 · 14:00J. Szotkowski4051111942P. Wawrosz49117911113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.571111113P. Wawrosz2.257940LSep 15 · 13:00R. Polasek2.2511912113J. Szotkowski1.577111081LSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113LSep 15 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.5011911113J. Szotkowski1.50811991WSep 15 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111185113R. Polasek2.2583111142WSep 14 · 17:00J. Szotkowski1.851111113M. Cabis1.806330LSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191LSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski2.0061111992M. Biolek1.73119811113
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8335100R. Polasek1.831111123LSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.571111113P. Wawrosz2.257940WSep 16 · 21:30P. Wawrosz1.7311118113M. Vavrecka2.00661171WSep 16 · 20:00M. Navedla1.9161171112P. Wawrosz1.80119113113WSep 16 · 19:00L. Prikasky1.83111110972P. Wawrosz1.83981211113WSep 16 · 18:30P. Wawrosz2.0012911133M. Vavrecka1.7310116111LSep 14 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.781211511113P. Wawrosz1.9314811692LSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz1.831146101R. Polasek1.8391111123
Upcoming Matches
J. Szotkowski
P. Wawrosz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.