TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147741
Played Sep 17Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.02
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1149111214116117
Jan Szotkowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7
96 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 98–114 Jan Szotkowski Tadeas Zika has won 98 of their 212 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zika beat Szotkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.02 / Szotkowski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szotkowski)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147741
Zika2.02
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 311 of 671
Down 0–1, comes back28% 96 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 174
Szotkowski1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 129 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it73% 102 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika4wins
AwaySzotkowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika66.7%2 of 3
AwaySzotkowski71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Zika7Szotkowski3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika4Szotkowski6n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S4Zika2Szotkowski5n = 7Szotkowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaSzotkowskiZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.6−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1728 vs 431 / 82946%52%795 / 1728 vs 431 / 829Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiZika 2.02/Szotkowski 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika341112113J. Szotkowski2671090
LSep 3 · 10:30T. Zika177730J. Szotkowski331111113
LSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika133820J. Szotkowski331111113
LSep 2 · 10:30T. Zika421711861J. Szotkowski5019911113
LAug 31 · 19:00T. Zika3510114101J. Szotkowski4312811123
LAug 31 · 15:00T. Zika49111114762J. Szotkowski53781611113
LAug 27 · 17:30T. Zika355119101J. Szotkowski4211811123
WAug 27 · 14:30T. Zika3611311113J. Szotkowski37911981
WAug 27 · 10:00T. Zika49912116113J. Szotkowski45111051182
WAug 25 · 17:30T. Zika4071111113J. Szotkowski34117971
T. Zika10
LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.751110441J. Dzida1.4091211113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113WSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133LSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek1.67811117113T. Zika2.1011581172
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.441111113P. Wawrosz2.639470LSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.571111113P. Wawrosz2.257940LSep 15 · 13:00R. Polasek2.2511912113J. Szotkowski1.577111081LSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113LSep 15 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.5011911113J. Szotkowski1.50811991
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