TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146479
Played Sep 17Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 83–84 Tadeas Zika Radovan Polasek has won 83 of their 167 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Zika beat Polasek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Zika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
83-84 in 167
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1856 vs Zika 1835
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 60% vs Zika 80%
Zika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 40% vs Zika 60%
Zika
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +2 · Zika +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.85 / Zika 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146479
Polasek1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Zika1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek5wins
AwayZika5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek42.9%3 of 7
AwayZika33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek7Zika3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Polasek5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek4Zika3n = 7Polasek took 4 of 7
S5Polasek1Zika3n = 4Zika took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekZikaP − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.335.9+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 915 vs 793 / 172450.7%46%464 / 915 vs 793 / 1724Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPolasek 1.85/Zika 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 15:00R. Polasek30136741T. Zika44111111113
WAug 26 · 07:30R. Polasek331111113T. Zika204970
LAug 25 · 12:30R. Polasek47117711112T. Zika45511115133
WAug 22 · 12:30R. Polasek4291111113T. Zika27117361
LAug 21 · 20:58R. Polasek279990T. Zika331111113
WAug 21 · 18:30R. Polasek331111113T. Zika184950
WAug 21 · 17:30R. Polasek48611811123T. Zika46116118102
LAug 21 · 16:00R. Polasek4411811862T. Zika48911611113
WAug 19 · 06:00R. Polasek4211711133T. Zika314115111
LAug 17 · 12:58R. Polasek47111185122T. Zika47291111143
R. Polasek10
WSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8335100R. Polasek1.831111123LSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113LSep 16 · 21:03T. Dousek1.28111110113R. Polasek3.50361281WSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek1.80911111152R. Polasek1.91113139113LSep 16 · 19:30R. Polasek3.001139111R. Niezgoda1.3691111133LSep 16 · 18:30T. Zika1.911111113R. Polasek1.808890LSep 16 · 17:00R. Polasek1.61771151T. Zika2.2011119113LSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek1.91102121282T. Dousek1.8012111010113WSep 16 · 15:30T. Zika1.83891181R. Polasek1.8311117113
T. Zika10
WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113WSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133LSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek1.67811117113T. Zika2.1011581172WSep 16 · 18:30T. Zika1.911111113R. Polasek1.808890WSep 16 · 17:00R. Polasek1.61771151T. Zika2.2011119113LSep 16 · 16:30M. Skotnica1.8012126113T. Zika1.9110101171LSep 16 · 15:30T. Zika1.83891181R. Polasek1.8311117113
Upcoming Matches
R. Polasek
Nothing scheduled
T. Zika
Sep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.75J. Dzida1.40—Sep 17 · 16:30T. Zika1.73R. Niezgoda2.00—Sep 18 · 06:00T. Zika1.80P. Wawrosz1.90—Sep 18 · 07:30T. Zika1.60M. Vavrecka2.20—Sep 18 · 08:00T. Zika1.85R. Revay1.85—Sep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.80P. Wawrosz1.90—Sep 18 · 11:00T. Zika1.90J. Pilch1.80—Sep 18 · 12:00T. Zika1.85R. Revay1.85—
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