TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13143172
Played Sep 16Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131161012118––
Radovan Polasek
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 17–21 Radovan Polasek Tomas Dousek has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Dousek beat Polasek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Dousek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 1.28 / Polasek 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Dousek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13143172
Dousek1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 105 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 109
Polasek3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 128 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousek5wins
AwayPolasek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek60%3 of 5
AwayPolasek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dousek5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dousek3Polasek7n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S4Dousek3Polasek6n = 9Polasek took 6 of 9
S5Dousek4Polasek1n = 5Dousek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousekPolasekD − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.3+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 474 vs 462 / 91153%50.7%251 / 474 vs 462 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousekDousek 1.28/Polasek 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.9%
Dousek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek47911111152R. Polasek47113139113
WSep 16 · 16:00T. Dousek5412111010113R. Polasek44102121282
WSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek49711911113R. Polasek3611411642
WSep 6 · 20:00T. Dousek4511117163R. Polasek407811141
LSep 5 · 14:00T. Dousek399911101R. Polasek4111117123
LSep 4 · 12:59T. Dousek248880R. Polasek331111113
LSep 4 · 12:00T. Dousek371181081R. Polasek4391112113
WAug 31 · 07:30T. Dousek49118117123R. Polasek48711911102
WAug 25 · 09:28T. Dousek48711117123R. Polasek39112511102
LAug 25 · 08:00T. Dousek31118571R. Polasek4291111113
T. Dousek10
LSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek1.80911111152R. Polasek1.91113139113WSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek1.67811117113T. Zika2.1011581172LSep 16 · 18:00R. Niezgoda1.7311114123T. Dousek2.005711101LSep 16 · 17:30M. Skotnica2.101111113T. Dousek1.657640WSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek1.91102121282T. Dousek1.8012111010113LSep 16 · 15:00M. Skotnica2.001111611113T. Dousek1.7396111372WSep 16 · 14:30T. Dousek1.671114113T. Zika2.1081270WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133WSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182
R. Polasek10
WSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek1.80911111152R. Polasek1.91113139113LSep 16 · 19:30R. Polasek3.001139111R. Niezgoda1.3691111133LSep 16 · 18:30T. Zika1.911111113R. Polasek1.808890LSep 16 · 17:00R. Polasek1.61771151T. Zika2.2011119113LSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek1.91102121282T. Dousek1.8012111010113WSep 16 · 15:30T. Zika1.83891181R. Polasek1.8311117113LSep 16 · 14:00R. Polasek1.8386111162M. Skotnica1.83111186113WSep 15 · 13:00R. Polasek2.2511912113J. Szotkowski1.577111081WSep 15 · 12:30R. Polasek1.7391111133M. Vavrecka2.001166111LSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousek
Nothing scheduled
R. Polasek
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