TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134272
Played Sep 16Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151174111210––
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 54.4%
71 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 1–1 Tomas Dousek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 80% vs Dousek 60%
Niezgoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 80% vs Dousek 50%
Niezgoda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda +2 · Dousek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Niezgoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.73 / Dousek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Niezgoda)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134272
Niezgoda1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Dousek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 37 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNiezgoda1wins
AwayDousek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNiezgodaDousekN − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.529.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 250 / 47180%53.1%8 / 10 vs 250 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.62.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.73/Dousek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 14 · 21:30R. Niezgoda351311113T. Dousek1911530
LSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda30581161T. Dousek3911116113
R. Niezgoda10
WSep 14 · 21:30T. Dousek2.5011530R. Niezgoda1.501311113WSep 14 · 20:30R. Niezgoda1.731111113L. Prikasky2.003750LSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.80581161T. Dousek1.9111116113WSep 14 · 18:00M. Navedla1.8357111152R. Niezgoda1.83111188113WSep 9 · 21:10D. Sarganek2.357790R. Niezgoda1.481111113WSep 9 · 19:45R. Niezgoda1.731111113P. Vicherek2.009730LSep 9 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.611110851D. Sarganek2.2091211113WSep 9 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5011118113R. Kowal2.50651171WSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571WSep 8 · 19:40A. Baros2.6311165822R. Niezgoda1.449141111113
T. Dousek10
LSep 16 · 17:30M. Skotnica2.101111113T. Dousek1.657640WSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek1.91102121282T. Dousek1.8012111010113LSep 16 · 15:00M. Skotnica2.001111611113T. Dousek1.7396111372WSep 16 · 14:30T. Dousek1.671114113T. Zika2.1081270WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133WSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.53119811113T. Dousek2.3891111772LSep 14 · 21:30T. Dousek2.5011530R. Niezgoda1.501311113WSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.80581161T. Dousek1.9111116113
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