TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134504
Played Sep 16Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911117811––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 58.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 84–83 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 83 of their 167 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
84-83 in 167
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1816 vs Polasek 1867
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Polasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 40% vs Polasek 70%
Polasek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -1 · Polasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.83 / Polasek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polasek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134504
Zika1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Polasek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwayPolasek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika33.3%1 of 3
AwayPolasek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika3Polasek7n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Zika5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Zika5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Zika3Polasek4n = 7Polasek took 4 of 7
S5Zika3Polasek1n = 4Zika took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaPolasekZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.3−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime787 / 1714 vs 460 / 90545.9%50.8%787 / 1714 vs 460 / 905Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekZika 1.83/Polasek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:00T. Zika44111111113R. Polasek30136741
LAug 26 · 07:30T. Zika204970R. Polasek331111113
WAug 25 · 12:30T. Zika45511115133R. Polasek47117711112
LAug 22 · 12:30T. Zika27117361R. Polasek4291111113
WAug 21 · 20:58T. Zika331111113R. Polasek279990
LAug 21 · 18:30T. Zika184950R. Polasek331111113
LAug 21 · 17:30T. Zika46116118102R. Polasek48611811123
WAug 21 · 16:00T. Zika48911611113R. Polasek4411811862
LAug 19 · 06:00T. Zika314115111R. Polasek4211711133
WAug 17 · 12:58T. Zika47291111143R. Polasek47111185122
T. Zika10
LSep 16 · 14:30T. Dousek1.671114113T. Zika2.1081270WSep 5 · 16:58T. Dousek1.7361181182T. Zika2.00117117113WSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123LSep 5 · 15:30T. Zika2.101112111182T. Dousek1.67814913113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Biolek1.501112123T. Zika2.50810100LSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831LSep 5 · 12:00M. Biolek1.571111113T. Zika2.258880LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cabis1.6111811113T. Zika2.20611931WSep 5 · 10:30T. Zika1.8313811113O. Paril1.831111781WSep 4 · 09:00P. Wawrosz1.911311771T. Zika1.8015711113
R. Polasek10
LSep 16 · 16:00R. Polasek1.91102121282T. Dousek1.8012111010113LSep 16 · 14:00R. Polasek1.8386111162M. Skotnica1.83111186113WSep 15 · 13:00R. Polasek2.2511912113J. Szotkowski1.577111081WSep 15 · 12:30R. Polasek1.7391111133M. Vavrecka2.001166111LSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113LSep 15 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111185113R. Polasek2.2583111142WSep 14 · 13:30R. Polasek1.8011116113M. Vavrecka1.90941181WSep 14 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.50891171R. Polasek2.5011112113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz1.831146101R. Polasek1.8391111123LSep 5 · 16:30R. Polasek1.8311410101T. Zika1.8331112123
Upcoming Matches
T. Zika
Sep 16 · 18:30T. Zika1.83R. Polasek1.83—Sep 16 · 19:00T. Zika2.10T. Dousek1.67—Sep 16 · 20:00T. Zika1.83R. Niezgoda1.83—Sep 17 · 10:00T. Zika1.83R. Polasek1.83—Sep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.10J. Szotkowski1.67—Sep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.80P. Wawrosz1.91—Sep 17 · 14:30T. Zika2.10J. Szotkowski1.67—Sep 17 · 15:30T. Zika2.75J. Dzida1.40—Sep 17 · 16:30T. Zika1.73R. Niezgoda2.00—
R. Polasek
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