TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140329
Played Sep 17Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012411411––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 72 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 69.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 11–30 Jan Dzida Tadeas Zika has won 11 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-30 in 41
Dzida
Correct
gap of 19 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1873 vs Dzida 1920
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 80% vs Dzida 0%
Zika
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 80% vs Dzida 40%
Zika
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika +3 · Dzida -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.75 / Dzida 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Dzida)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140329
Zika2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 311 of 671
Down 0–1, comes back28% 96 of 342
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 174
Dzida1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 137 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it75% 101 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika3wins
AwayDzida7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZikan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika2Dzida8n = 10Dzida took 8 of 10
S2Zika7Dzida3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika3Dzida7n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S4Zika4Dzida3n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5Zika1Dzida3n = 4Dzida took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaDzidaZ − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.4−3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime795 / 1726 vs 214 / 36546.1%58.6%795 / 1726 vs 214 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaZika 2.75/Dzida 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 24 · 08:58T. Zika4561181192J. Dzida47117117113
WJul 24 · 07:00T. Zika53814811123J. Dzida531112119102
LJul 23 · 16:30T. Zika34811961J. Dzida4111811113
WJul 21 · 16:30T. Zika361111143J. Dzida2356120
LJul 18 · 21:00T. Zika32611691J. Dzida4011711113
LJul 18 · 20:30T. Zika521281111102J. Dzida54141198123
LJul 18 · 17:30T. Zika174940J. Dzida331111113
WJul 18 · 16:00T. Zika4561711113J. Dzida411115781
LJul 17 · 09:02T. Zika4411119762J. Dzida49971111113
LJul 17 · 07:00T. Zika195680J. Dzida331111113
T. Zika10
WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852WSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:30T. Zika1.8091111113P. Wawrosz1.91118871LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113WSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133LSep 16 · 19:00T. Dousek1.67811117113T. Zika2.1011581172
J. Dzida10
WSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990LSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182LSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620WSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191WSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551WSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113
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