TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148257
Played Sep 18Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115611114711
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 85 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 54–69 Radovan Polasek Radomir Revay has won 54 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-69 in 123
Polasek
Correct
gap of 15 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1850 vs Polasek 1841
Revay
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 40% vs Polasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 60% vs Polasek 30%
Revay
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +1 · Polasek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.91 / Polasek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Polasek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13148257
Revay1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back33% 40 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back17% 10 of 60
Polasek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it85% 76 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay3wins
AwayPolasek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevayn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPolasek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay2Polasek8n = 10Polasek took 8 of 10
S2Revay5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Revay7Polasek3n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S4Revay3Polasek5n = 8Polasek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayPolasekR − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.7−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 585 vs 465 / 91652.1%50.8%305 / 585 vs 465 / 916Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekRevay 1.91/Polasek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 06:30R. Revay4381161172R. Polasek42115114113
LSep 14 · 07:30R. Revay2210570R. Polasek341211113
WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay4061211113R. Polasek361110691
WSep 11 · 10:30R. Revay4612913123R. Polasek42101111101
LSep 9 · 06:30R. Revay368711101R. Polasek4111117123
LSep 3 · 06:30R. Revay326101151R. Polasek4111127113
LSep 2 · 06:00R. Revay33711871R. Polasek4111811113
LAug 29 · 06:30R. Revay378101181R. Polasek4211128113
LAug 18 · 08:00R. Revay46131111742R. Polasek50159411113
WAug 14 · 13:30R. Revay381512113R. Polasek28131050
R. Revay10
WSep 18 · 08:00T. Zika1.833790R. Revay1.831111113WSep 18 · 07:00P. Wawrosz1.806117161R. Revay1.9111311183WSep 14 · 08:58M. Vavrecka1.807111111112R. Revay1.91114138133LSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113LSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460
R. Polasek10
WSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192LSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8335100R. Polasek1.831111123LSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek1.831011591T. Zika1.8312511113LSep 16 · 21:03T. Dousek1.28111110113R. Polasek3.50361281WSep 16 · 20:30T. Dousek1.80911111152R. Polasek1.91113139113LSep 16 · 19:30R. Polasek3.001139111R. Niezgoda1.3691111133LSep 16 · 18:30T. Zika1.911111113R. Polasek1.808890WSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570
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