TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142781
Played Sep 17Finished
Ihor Dubinin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115119––––
Nikita Priadko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeNikita Priadko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Dubinin above · Nikita Priadko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Nikita Priadko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Dubinin 2–1 Nikita Priadko Nikita Priadko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dubinin 1361 vs Priadko 1279
Dubinin
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dubinin 20% vs Priadko 40%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dubinin 40% vs Priadko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dubinin -2 · Priadko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDubinin 2.10 / Priadko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Priadko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13142781
Dubinin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 35 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Priadko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 6 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDubinin2wins
AwayPriadko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDubinin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDubinin66.7%2 of 3
AwayPriadkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dubinin3Priadko0n = 3Dubinin took 3 of 3
S2Dubinin1Priadko2n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
S3Dubinin0Priadko3n = 3Priadko took 3 of 3
S4Dubinin2Priadko1n = 3Dubinin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDubininPriadkoD − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.340.3−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDubininPriadkoBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 445 vs 9 / 2950.3%31%224 / 445 vs 9 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.734.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoDubinin 2.10/Priadko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin32114891N. Priadko4181111113
WSep 1 · 17:38I. Dubinin4111118113N. Priadko34691181
WSep 1 · 12:00I. Dubinin42124411113N. Priadko46101111592
I. Dubinin10
LSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492WSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133LSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:00I. Dubinin2.00611611123V. Simchuk1.73119119102WSep 7 · 17:08S. Sideltsev2.6310960I. Dubinin1.441211113LSep 7 · 16:30S. Honcharenko3.251151112113I. Dubinin1.3351161492WSep 7 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.8091411113I. Sorochan1.911112591LSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113
N. Priadko10
LSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113WSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102LSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113LSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko1.4011580S. Honcharenko2.751311113WSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890LSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102WSep 7 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.83114891N. Priadko1.8381111113
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