TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142938
Played Sep 17Finished
Nikita Priadko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611511118113811
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNikita Priadko above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 85 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 58.5%
85 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1262 vs Shulhachyk 1407
Shulhachyk
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Shulhachyk 60%
Shulhachyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 40% vs Shulhachyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -2 · Shulhachyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Priadko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.80 / Shulhachyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Priadko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142938
Priadko1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 6 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Shulhachyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 13 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 30 vs 173 / 29230%59.3%9 / 30 vs 173 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.80/Shulhachyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shulhachyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Priadko10
LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.401111113N. Priadko2.758980LSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 11 · 10:10S. Honcharenko2.009980N. Priadko1.731111113WSep 11 · 09:30N. Priadko3.00114711123M. Pohorilyi1.36811119102LSep 11 · 08:30N. Priadko2.2551181442V. Simchuk1.57119111263LSep 11 · 07:00N. Priadko2.5041113692S. Sideltsev1.501181111113LSep 11 · 06:00N. Priadko1.4011580S. Honcharenko2.751311113WSep 7 · 17:39N. Priadko1.611311113S. Honcharenko2.2011890LSep 7 · 15:30S. Honcharenko2.101161011123N. Priadko1.67411128102
P. Shulhachyk10
WSep 17 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev3.757440P. Shulhachyk1.251111113LSep 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.731512711113P. Shulhachyk2.00131411982WSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113WSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152LSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111WSep 15 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.4071080P. Shulhachyk1.301112113WSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113WSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113
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