TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142787
Played Sep 17Finished
Roman Hryhoriev
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411411––––
Pavlo Shulhachyk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timePavlo Shulhachyk to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Hryhoriev above · Pavlo Shulhachyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Pavlo Shulhachyk at 76.6%
48 points played in total.
H2H Roman Hryhoriev 5–21 Pavlo Shulhachyk Roman Hryhoriev has won 5 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shulhachyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-21 in 26
Shulhachyk
Correct
gap of 16 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hryhoriev 1382 vs Shulhachyk 1413
Shulhachyk
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hryhoriev 60% vs Shulhachyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hryhoriev 50% vs Shulhachyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hryhoriev +1 · Shulhachyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Shulhachyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shulhachyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHryhoriev 3.75 / Shulhachyk 1.25
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Shulhachyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13142787
Hryhoriev3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 8 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Shulhachyk1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 47 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHryhoriev0wins
AwayShulhachyk10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShulhachyk leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHryhorievn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShulhachyk100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hryhoriev2Shulhachyk8n = 10Shulhachyk took 8 of 10
S2Hryhoriev2Shulhachyk8n = 10Shulhachyk took 8 of 10
S3Hryhoriev2Shulhachyk8n = 10Shulhachyk took 8 of 10
S4Hryhoriev2Shulhachyk2n = 4split evenly
S5Hryhoriev0Shulhachyk4n = 4Shulhachyk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricHryhorievShulhachykH − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.239.2−10.0per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHryhorievShulhachykBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 256 vs 174 / 29348.1%59.4%123 / 256 vs 174 / 293Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShulhachykHryhoriev 3.75/Shulhachyk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Shulhachyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Shulhachyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev167540P. Shulhachyk331111113
LJul 13 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev235990P. Shulhachyk331111113
LDec 26 · 14:00R. Hryhoriev2510960P. Shulhachyk341211113
LNov 2 · 14:00R. Hryhoriev219750P. Shulhachyk331111113
LOct 5 · 15:00R. Hryhoriev209470P. Shulhachyk321111103
LAug 21 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev3861211542P. Shulhachyk511110811113
LAug 7 · 07:00R. Hryhoriev4391111932P. Shulhachyk42115411113
LAug 1 · 08:30R. Hryhoriev4211581262P. Shulhachyk485111110113
LJul 17 · 12:00R. Hryhoriev177460P. Shulhachyk331111113
LJul 14 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev47118111432P. Shulhachyk536111312113
R. Hryhoriev10
WSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113LSep 17 · 14:00M. Pohorilyi1.441111133R. Hryhoriev2.6349110WSep 17 · 12:30N. Priadko2.1017101161R. Hryhoriev1.6719126113WSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492LSep 10 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi1.441110511113R. Hryhoriev2.6321211882LSep 10 · 14:30R. Hryhoriev2.00661181V. Simchuk1.7311115113WSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113WSep 10 · 12:30R. Hryhoriev1.3613911203Y. Zvolynskyi3.0011119181LSep 3 · 17:03R. Hryhoriev2.63951121S. Sideltsev1.4411118113LSep 3 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.83111113113R. Hryhoriev1.831391191
P. Shulhachyk10
WSep 17 · 14:30N. Priadko1.8065111182P. Shulhachyk1.91111183113LSep 17 · 13:00M. Pohorilyi1.731512711113P. Shulhachyk2.00131411982WSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113WSep 15 · 10:29P. Shulhachyk1.441111113113Y. Zvolynskyi2.6388131152LSep 15 · 09:00V. Matviichuk4.5011118133P. Shulhachyk1.177611111WSep 15 · 07:30S. Honcharenko3.4071080P. Shulhachyk1.301112113WSep 15 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi2.507670P. Shulhachyk1.501111113WSep 15 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.2011721121P. Shulhachyk1.61131119143LAug 27 · 09:30P. Shulhachyk2.006480P. Kolesnik1.731111113LAug 27 · 08:30P. Shulhachyk3.255770M. Denysenko1.331111113
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