Oleksandr Zhurba vs Illia Hermakivskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13141989

Played Sep 17Finished

Oleksandr Zhurba

Home

1.40

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

116116116––––

Illia Hermakivskyi

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Zhurba to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Zhurba above · Illia Hermakivskyi below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-6

Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Zhurba at 54.0%

51 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:12

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.40 (66%)

Zhurba

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Zhurba 1907 vs Hermakivskyi 1636

Zhurba

Correct

both rated, 271 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zhurba 40% vs Hermakivskyi 20%

Zhurba

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zhurba 50% vs Hermakivskyi 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Zhurba +1 · Hermakivskyi -4

Hermakivskyi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zhurba) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hermakivskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZhurba 1.40 / Hermakivskyi 2.75

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Zhurba)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13141989

Zhurba1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite71% won 175 of 246

Up 2–0, closes it98% 107 of 109

Up 1–0, closes it87% 139 of 160

Hermakivskyi2.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 11 of 26

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricZhurbaHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 707 vs 24 / 5565.2%43.6%461 / 707 vs 24 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zhurba

Zhurba 1.40/Hermakivskyi 2.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

66.3%

Zhurba · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Zhurba won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Zhurba10