TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131368
Played Sep 15Finished
Illia Hermakivskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113115––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIllia Hermakivskyi above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 60.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Illia Hermakivskyi 1–0 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hermakivskyi 1651 vs Seliuchenko 1636
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hermakivskyi 40% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hermakivskyi 20% vs Seliuchenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hermakivskyi -1 · Seliuchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hermakivskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHermakivskyi 1.44 / Seliuchenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131368
Hermakivskyi1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 10 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Seliuchenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog58% won 42 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back40% 15 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHermakivskyi1wins
AwaySeliuchenko0wins
Hermakivskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHermakivskyiSeliuchenkoH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.020.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHermakivskyiSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 48 vs 179 / 30343.8%59.1%21 / 48 vs 179 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiHermakivskyi 1.44/Seliuchenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi331111113O. Seliuchenko208930
I. Hermakivskyi10
LSep 15 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi1.40941171V. Marushchak2.7511114113LSep 15 · 16:30I. Hermakivskyi1.44123791A. Hrabskyi2.63101111113WSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi1.61111298123A. Yurkov2.206101111102LAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113LAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580LAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121WAug 21 · 12:00D. Neborak1.61811511102I. Hermakivskyi2.20119116123LAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640LSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552LSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113
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