TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111050
Played Sep 11Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131161113––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 15–11 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1648 vs Seliuchenko 1640
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 20% vs Seliuchenko 0%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 30% vs Seliuchenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -4 · Seliuchenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 1.80 / Seliuchenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111050
Yurkov1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 211 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it72% 139 of 192
Seliuchenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog61% won 54 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back42% 18 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwaySeliuchenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSeliuchenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov66.7%4 of 6
AwaySeliuchenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov6Seliuchenko4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Yurkov5Seliuchenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Yurkov4Seliuchenko4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovSeliuchenkoY − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.838.3+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 988 vs 178 / 30159.2%59.1%585 / 988 vs 178 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovYurkov 1.80/Seliuchenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seliuchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:20A. Yurkov—10450O. Seliuchenko—1211113
WSep 2 · 12:20A. Yurkov—11116113O. Seliuchenko—971171
LSep 1 · 14:00A. Yurkov—1011121172O. Seliuchenko—128146113
WAug 28 · 12:40A. Yurkov—111111113O. Seliuchenko—313871
LAug 26 · 09:50A. Yurkov—8811131O. Seliuchenko—11115153
LAug 25 · 14:00A. Yurkov—11711101O. Seliuchenko—71113123
LAug 19 · 07:50A. Yurkov—811157102O. Seliuchenko—1171311123
WAug 18 · 12:00A. Yurkov—1111113O. Seliuchenko—9830
LAug 12 · 09:20A. Yurkov—1199101O. Seliuchenko—81111123
WAug 5 · 08:20A. Yurkov—11911123O. Seliuchenko—7114101
A. Yurkov10
LSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941LSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113LSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:20Y. Shmyndra1.831111113O. Seliuchenko1.837410
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