TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111011
Played Sep 11Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118119911117
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 44–53 Artem Yurkov Andrii Hrabskyi has won 44 of their 97 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-53 in 97
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 9 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1574 vs Yurkov 1662
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 40%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -4 · Yurkov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.91 / Yurkov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111011
Hrabskyi1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Yurkov1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 211 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it92% 85 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it72% 139 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi80%4 of 5
AwayYurkov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Hrabskyi6Yurkov4n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S3Hrabskyi5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrabskyi5Yurkov4n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9
S5Hrabskyi2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiYurkovH − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.942.5+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 516 vs 585 / 98743.2%59.3%223 / 516 vs 585 / 987Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovHrabskyi 1.91/Yurkov 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 11:20A. Hrabskyi—81191182A. Yurkov—114118113
LSep 8 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi—61011101A. Yurkov—11129123
LSep 7 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi—714101272A. Yurkov—11121210113
WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi—1116123A. Yurkov—614100
WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—1191111123A. Yurkov—911813102
LAug 31 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi—791281A. Yurkov—111110113
WAug 26 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi—11119113A. Yurkov—891181
WAug 25 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—11111110113A. Yurkov—13581232
LAug 24 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—128711112A. Yurkov—1011114133
WAug 19 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—11118113A. Yurkov—651181
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113LSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291LSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.57157118112A. Hrabskyi2.251311611133LSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391LSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861WSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881LSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi3.406115121A. Lievshin1.3011711143
A. Yurkov10
LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941LSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113LSep 8 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.73114113132V. Marushchak2.00511811153LSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552
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