Illia Hermakivskyi vs Anatolii Lievshin 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13131354

Played Sep 15Finished

Illia Hermakivskyi

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

114101210121311113

Anatolii Lievshin

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Anatolii Lievshin to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingIllia Hermakivskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 13-11

Set 5 · 11-3

Point 97 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 54.0%

97 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:47

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Hermakivskyi

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Hermakivskyi 1678 vs Lievshin 1756

Lievshin

Wrong

both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Hermakivskyi 60% vs Lievshin 80%

Lievshin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Hermakivskyi 40% vs Lievshin 60%

Lievshin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Hermakivskyi +2 · Lievshin +4

Lievshin

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hermakivskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lievshin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHermakivskyi 1.80 / Lievshin 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Hermakivskyi)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13131354

Hermakivskyi1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite63% won 10 of 16

Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7

Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9

Lievshin1.91

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog47% won 41 of 87

Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47

Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricHermakivskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 50 vs 183 / 32446%56.5%23 / 50 vs 183 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hermakivskyi

Hermakivskyi 1.80/Lievshin 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Hermakivskyi won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

I. Hermakivskyi10