TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111102
Played Sep 11Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111416113119
Artem Yurkov
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 58.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 13–11 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1730 vs Yurkov 1636
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 60% vs Yurkov 0%
Lievshin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 60% vs Yurkov 30%
Lievshin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin -2 · Yurkov -5
Yurkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.61 / Yurkov 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lievshin)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111102
Lievshin1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 119 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it83% 94 of 114
Yurkov2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin83.3%5 of 6
AwayYurkov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin6Yurkov4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S2Lievshin5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Lievshin6Yurkov4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S4Lievshin8Yurkov1n = 9Lievshin took 8 of 9
S5Lievshin1Yurkov4n = 5Yurkov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinYurkovL − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.6+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 316 vs 585 / 98956%59.2%177 / 316 vs 585 / 989Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.61/Yurkov 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin—1111113A. Yurkov—5950
LSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin—41191162A. Yurkov—119114113
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Lievshin—127131162A. Yurkov—1411119113
WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin—51111113A. Yurkov—118861
WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin—11611113A. Yurkov—711961
WSep 1 · 19:00A. Lievshin—11911113A. Yurkov—711241
LAug 31 · 17:40A. Lievshin—81671172A. Yurkov—1114119113
LAug 28 · 17:40A. Lievshin—149131092A. Yurkov—12111112113
WAug 26 · 11:20A. Lievshin—11116113A. Yurkov—671171
WAug 25 · 19:00A. Lievshin—145711123A. Yurkov—1211117102
A. Lievshin10
LSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892LSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520WSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113WSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950LSep 9 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.61111159113A. Lievshin2.2098111192WSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391WSep 9 · 06:50V. Mishchenko1.9112560A. Lievshin1.801411113LSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113
A. Yurkov10
LSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941LSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450LSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 8 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.7341191162A. Yurkov2.00119114113
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