TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131310
Played Sep 15Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711211931112101012
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 77.4% is still 77.4%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
77.4%
77.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 21-19
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 116 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 77.4%
116 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 5–20 Anatolii Lievshin Andrii Hrabskyi has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1642 vs Lievshin 1741
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 60% vs Lievshin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 60% vs Lievshin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +1 · Lievshin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 3.50 / Lievshin 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Lievshin)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13131310
Hrabskyi3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 102 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back22% 34 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Lievshin1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 118 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 93 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi2wins
AwayLievshin8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayLievshin100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S4Hrabskyi1Lievshin6n = 7Lievshin took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiLievshinH − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.639.5−7.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 524 vs 181 / 32243.7%56.2%229 / 524 vs 181 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinHrabskyi 3.50/Lievshin 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi333911101A. Lievshin4311119123
LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi35912681A. Lievshin43111011113
LSep 9 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi33138391A. Lievshin44111111113
LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi346115121A. Lievshin4311711143
WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi48138115113A. Lievshin48111181172
LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi315511101A. Lievshin4311119123
LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi143560A. Lievshin331111113
LSep 1 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi196760A. Lievshin331111113
LAug 31 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi249960A. Lievshin331111113
WAug 26 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi45111112113A. Lievshin32361491
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 15 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.5311159113A. Hrabskyi2.383131171WSep 14 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.44811991A. Hrabskyi2.6311611113LSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062WSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113WSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980
A. Lievshin10
LSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552WSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120LSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751WSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123WSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392LSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892LSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111
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