TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126774
Played Sep 14Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71114124111210116
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 55.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 21–26 Andrii Hrabskyi Vladimir Voronenko has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrabskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-26 in 47
Hrabskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1650 vs Hrabskyi 1645
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Hrabskyi 100%
Hrabskyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Hrabskyi 60%
Hrabskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -4 · Hrabskyi +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Hrabskyi 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13126774
Voronenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Hrabskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 61 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko50%2 of 4
AwayHrabskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko5Hrabskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Voronenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S4Voronenko2Hrabskyi6n = 8Hrabskyi took 6 of 8
S5Voronenko2Hrabskyi2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.6−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 530 vs 228 / 52244.5%43.7%236 / 530 vs 228 / 522Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiVoronenko 2.25/Hrabskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.1%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko48714412113A. Hrabskyi501112111062
LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko34871181A. Hrabskyi4111118113
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko4691111782A. Hrabskyi46116711113
LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko33881161A. Hrabskyi4211119113
LAug 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko249870A. Hrabskyi331111113
WAug 21 · 10:40V. Voronenko46111275113A. Hrabskyi43710111142
LAug 17 · 10:40V. Voronenko3811114572A. Hrabskyi46581111113
WAug 14 · 16:40V. Voronenko46111112123A. Hrabskyi324414101
LAug 10 · 14:40V. Voronenko238780A. Hrabskyi331111113
LAug 7 · 10:40V. Voronenko36118981A. Hrabskyi4071111113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko2.7571141152O. Kolbasenko1.40117114113LSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123LSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113WSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113LSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291LSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.