TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126452
Played Sep 14Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811118119311
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 53–46 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 46 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-46 in 99
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1610 vs Hrabskyi 1645
Hrabskyi
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 0% vs Hrabskyi 80%
Hrabskyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 20% vs Hrabskyi 50%
Hrabskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -5 · Hrabskyi +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 1.73 / Hrabskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126452
Yurkov1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 203 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it92% 81 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it72% 135 of 187
Hrabskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 100 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayHrabskyi6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayHrabskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov6Hrabskyi4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S3Yurkov4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Yurkov6Hrabskyi3n = 9Yurkov took 6 of 9
S5Yurkov2Hrabskyi4n = 6Hrabskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovHrabskyiY − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.345.8−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime581 / 987 vs 228 / 52158.9%43.8%581 / 987 vs 228 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovYurkov 1.73/Hrabskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov4188111132A. Hrabskyi50111189113
LSep 11 · 14:10A. Yurkov4611891172A. Hrabskyi49711119113
WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov45114118113A. Hrabskyi4781191182
WSep 8 · 12:10A. Yurkov4411129123A. Hrabskyi3761011101
WSep 7 · 13:40A. Yurkov5611121210113A. Hrabskyi50714101272
LSep 4 · 14:40A. Yurkov30614100A. Hrabskyi391116123
LSep 1 · 15:00A. Yurkov51911813102A. Hrabskyi541191111123
WAug 31 · 15:40A. Yurkov43111110113A. Hrabskyi36791281
LAug 26 · 07:50A. Yurkov36891181A. Hrabskyi4211119113
LAug 25 · 15:00A. Yurkov4113581232A. Hrabskyi5411111110113
A. Yurkov10
LSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392LSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941LSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262LSep 9 · 12:50A. Lievshin1.731111113A. Yurkov2.005950WSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:20V. Mishchenko2.108660A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113LSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291LSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.57157118112A. Hrabskyi2.251311611133LSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391
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