TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111438
Played Sep 11Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Seliuchenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Seliuchenko at 57.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 6–9 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Andrii Hrabskyi has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Seliuchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Seliuchenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1602 vs Seliuchenko 1652
Seliuchenko
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Seliuchenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +2 · Seliuchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Seliuchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.10 / Seliuchenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Seliuchenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111438
Hrabskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back25% 43 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Seliuchenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 63 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi5wins
AwaySeliuchenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi75%3 of 4
AwaySeliuchenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrabskyi4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrabskyi6Seliuchenko4n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S4Hrabskyi4Seliuchenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Hrabskyi2Seliuchenko1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiSeliuchenkoH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.3−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 518 vs 179 / 30243.4%59.3%225 / 518 vs 179 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeliuchenkoHrabskyi 2.10/Seliuchenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Seliuchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:50A. Hrabskyi—1110861O. Seliuchenko—71211113
LSep 1 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi—61311692O. Seliuchenko—1111911113
WAug 26 · 10:50A. Hrabskyi—91111113O. Seliuchenko—114781
WAug 25 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi—11511133O. Seliuchenko—8118111
LAug 19 · 11:20A. Hrabskyi—591181O. Seliuchenko—11114113
WAug 18 · 16:00A. Hrabskyi—1161711113O. Seliuchenko—81119972
WAug 12 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi—1111123O. Seliuchenko—97100
LAug 5 · 12:20A. Hrabskyi—79130O. Seliuchenko—1111153
LAug 4 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi—4911101O. Seliuchenko—11117123
WJul 31 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—311911113O. Seliuchenko—11811882
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113LSep 9 · 12:20V. Mishchenko2.2081111113A. Hrabskyi1.61117291LSep 9 · 11:20A. Yurkov1.80114118113A. Hrabskyi1.9181191182WSep 9 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.57157118112A. Hrabskyi2.251311611133LSep 9 · 07:50A. Lievshin1.30111111113A. Hrabskyi3.40138391LSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861WSep 8 · 16:40A. Hrabskyi1.5311511113V. Savoliuk2.38511881
O. Seliuchenko10
WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113LSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450WSep 9 · 05:50O. Seliuchenko1.7371211113A. Hrabskyi2.001110861LSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113
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