TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126918
Played Sep 14Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711117411114511
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Oleksandr Kolbasenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 82 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 67.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 32–48 Oleksandr Kolbasenko Vladimir Voronenko has won 32 of their 80 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-48 in 80
Kolbasenko
Correct
gap of 16 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1657 vs Kolbasenko 1778
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 40% vs Kolbasenko 80%
Kolbasenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Kolbasenko 90%
Kolbasenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -3 · Kolbasenko +1
Voronenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.75 / Kolbasenko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126918
Voronenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Kolbasenko1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 65 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayKolbasenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko50%3 of 6
AwayKolbasenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko6Kolbasenko4n = 10Voronenko took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S3Voronenko4Kolbasenko6n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko2Kolbasenko4n = 6Kolbasenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoKolbasenkoV − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.837.3−4.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoKolbasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 528 vs 174 / 32444.5%53.7%235 / 528 vs 174 / 324Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoVoronenko 2.75/Kolbasenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 16:40V. Voronenko4111811113O. Kolbasenko26511821
LAug 17 · 16:40V. Voronenko29811371O. Kolbasenko4211911113
LAug 3 · 16:40V. Voronenko31712481O. Kolbasenko43111011113
LJul 27 · 16:40V. Voronenko174490O. Kolbasenko331111113
LJul 20 · 16:40V. Voronenko4411881162O. Kolbasenko49911117113
WJul 10 · 17:10V. Voronenko341112113O. Kolbasenko2581070
LJul 6 · 15:10V. Voronenko4011411952O. Kolbasenko50811911113
LJun 26 · 16:40V. Voronenko249690O. Kolbasenko331111113
LJun 19 · 13:10V. Voronenko331110481O. Kolbasenko4391211113
WJun 12 · 16:40V. Voronenko351113113O. Kolbasenko2991190
V. Voronenko10
WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062LSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123LSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171
O. Kolbasenko10
WSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120WSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 8 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko2.255140V. Marushchak1.571111113WSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113WSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113WSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101WSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641WSep 7 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.50971271O. Kolbasenko1.50111110113WSep 7 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.671111113A. Lievshin2.106850
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