TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110984
Played Sep 11Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611111––––
Vitalii S Marushchak
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 45 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 64.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 30–46 Vitalii S Marushchak Vladimir Voronenko has won 30 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-46 in 76
Marushchak
Correct
gap of 16 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1675 vs Marushchak 1810
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 60% vs Marushchak 100%
Marushchak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 40% vs Marushchak 90%
Marushchak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -1 · Marushchak +5
Marushchak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.38 / Marushchak 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Marushchak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13110984
Voronenko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 61 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Marushchak1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite56% won 82 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it100% 46 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 64 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko5wins
AwayMarushchak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMarushchak50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko2Marushchak8n = 10Marushchak took 8 of 10
S2Voronenko6Marushchak4n = 10Voronenko took 6 of 10
S3Voronenko5Marushchak5n = 10split evenly
S4Voronenko3Marushchak5n = 8Marushchak took 5 of 8
S5Voronenko4Marushchak2n = 6Voronenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.942.6−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 526 vs 316 / 64644.7%48.9%235 / 526 vs 316 / 646Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakVoronenko 2.38/Marushchak 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko—811441V. Marushchak—11911113
LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko—13411512V. Marushchak—1111411113
WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko—518711113V. Marushchak—111611852
LAug 24 · 15:10V. Voronenko—3550V. Marushchak—1111113
LAug 21 · 16:40V. Voronenko—91111482V. Marushchak—116611113
WAug 17 · 15:10V. Voronenko—51111113V. Marushchak—118591
LAug 10 · 13:10V. Voronenko—11960V. Marushchak—1311113
WAug 7 · 15:10V. Voronenko—1210811113V. Marushchak—101211792
WAug 3 · 12:10V. Voronenko—911113113V. Marushchak—11581182
WJul 24 · 13:40V. Voronenko—611129113V. Marushchak—119101162
V. Voronenko10
LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113
V. Marushchak10
WSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892WSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680WSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980WSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262WSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113WSep 9 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.61111159113A. Lievshin2.2098111192LSep 9 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.57157118112A. Hrabskyi2.251311611133WSep 9 · 08:20V. Marushchak1.361211123V. Mishchenko3.00108100WSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.8311711113A. Yurkov1.83911681WSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113
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