TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131269
Played Sep 15Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9119111412115115
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 60.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 10–8 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1749 vs Seliuchenko 1623
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 60% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 60% vs Seliuchenko 20%
Lievshin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +3 · Seliuchenko -2
Lievshin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 1.57 / Seliuchenko 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Lievshin)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13131269
Lievshin1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 118 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it83% 93 of 112
Seliuchenko2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog58% won 42 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back40% 15 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLievshin5wins
AwaySeliuchenko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshin83.3%5 of 6
AwaySeliuchenko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin6Seliuchenko4n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S2Lievshin4Seliuchenko6n = 10Seliuchenko took 6 of 10
S3Lievshin8Seliuchenko2n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S4Lievshin1Seliuchenko3n = 4Seliuchenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.130.2+3.9per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 323 vs 179 / 30456.4%58.9%182 / 323 vs 179 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinLievshin 1.57/Seliuchenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin331111113O. Seliuchenko125520
WSep 9 · 08:50A. Lievshin331111113O. Seliuchenko112540
WSep 2 · 09:20A. Lievshin4313811113O. Seliuchenko271111411
WSep 1 · 17:30A. Lievshin361114113O. Seliuchenko2451270
LAug 28 · 16:10A. Lievshin371291151O. Seliuchenko4414118113
WAug 25 · 17:30A. Lievshin391414113O. Seliuchenko26121220
LAug 19 · 12:20A. Lievshin196940O. Seliuchenko331111113
LAug 18 · 18:30A. Lievshin228590O. Seliuchenko331111113
LAug 12 · 06:50A. Lievshin39114111032O. Seliuchenko52911912113
LAug 5 · 06:50A. Lievshin4012101171O. Seliuchenko4014123113
A. Lievshin10
LSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 13:00A. Hrabskyi3.50721312102A. Lievshin1.2811191110123WSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120LSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751WSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123WSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392LSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892LSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350LSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680LSep 11 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.731111113O. Seliuchenko2.005520LSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113LSep 9 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.5791110101V. Mishchenko2.2511612123LSep 9 · 08:50O. Seliuchenko1.802540A. Lievshin1.911111113WSep 9 · 07:20O. Seliuchenko1.801211113A. Yurkov1.9110450
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