TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126607
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116911911––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 68.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 25–5 Andrii Hrabskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 5 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolbasenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-5 in 30
Kolbasenko
Wrong
gap of 20 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1784 vs Hrabskyi 1625
Kolbasenko
Wrong
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 60% vs Hrabskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 80% vs Hrabskyi 50%
Kolbasenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko -1 · Hrabskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolbasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.44 / Hrabskyi 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13126607
Kolbasenko1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 65 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it90% 37 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Hrabskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 100 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko8wins
AwayHrabskyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolbasenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko100%3 of 3
AwayHrabskyi28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko3Hrabskyi7n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Kolbasenko7Hrabskyi3n = 10Kolbasenko took 7 of 10
S3Kolbasenko6Hrabskyi4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S4Kolbasenko6Hrabskyi4n = 10Kolbasenko took 6 of 10
S5Kolbasenko4Hrabskyi0n = 4Kolbasenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoHrabskyiK − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.740.7+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 327 vs 228 / 52353.8%43.6%176 / 327 vs 228 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.44/Hrabskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko484111111113A. Hrabskyi4711961382
WSep 7 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko43111110113A. Hrabskyi35971271
WAug 26 · 06:50O. Kolbasenko517111111113A. Hrabskyi4111136652
WAug 24 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko52116158123A. Hrabskyi516111311102
WAug 17 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko46111311113A. Hrabskyi381311771
LAug 10 · 10:40O. Kolbasenko36991261A. Hrabskyi43111110113
WAug 3 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko45111112113A. Hrabskyi391391071
WJul 27 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko4111118113A. Hrabskyi31741191
LJul 6 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko31311981A. Hrabskyi3811511113
WJun 19 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko44512511113A. Hrabskyi44111011662
O. Kolbasenko10
LSep 14 · 15:10V. Marushchak1.501111113O. Kolbasenko2.505580WSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120WSep 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko2.7571141152O. Kolbasenko1.40117114113WSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 8 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko2.255140V. Marushchak1.571111113WSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113WSep 8 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko2.25811611113A. Yurkov1.5711711552WSep 8 · 13:10V. Savoliuk2.3811661172O. Kolbasenko1.53611118113WSep 8 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko1.5791113123A. Lievshin2.2511511101WSep 7 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.30111111113P. Plakushchyi3.40137641
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 14 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.2811119123A. Hrabskyi3.503911101LSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062WSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113WSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi3.50912681A. Lievshin1.28111011113LSep 8 · 15:10A. Hrabskyi2.6311961382O. Kolbasenko1.444111111113
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