TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131404
Played Sep 15Finished
Illia Hermakivskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11612109118111210
Artem Yurkov
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIllia Hermakivskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 57.7%
100 points played in total.
H2H Illia Hermakivskyi 1–0 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hermakivskyi 1667 vs Yurkov 1628
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hermakivskyi 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hermakivskyi 30% vs Yurkov 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hermakivskyi +1 · Yurkov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hermakivskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHermakivskyi 1.61 / Yurkov 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131404
Hermakivskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 10 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Yurkov2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 33 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHermakivskyi1wins
AwayYurkov0wins
Hermakivskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHermakivskyiYurkovH − YBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHermakivskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 49 vs 581 / 98944.9%58.8%22 / 49 vs 581 / 989Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.440.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiHermakivskyi 1.61/Yurkov 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi331111113A. Yurkov228680
I. Hermakivskyi10
WSep 15 · 15:00I. Hermakivskyi1.8011101013113A. Lievshin1.91412121132WSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350LAug 21 · 17:13I. Hermakivskyi2.751151241O. Bondarchuk1.4061114113WAug 21 · 16:00O. Ivchuk1.508880I. Hermakivskyi2.501111113LAug 21 · 14:30O. Bondarchuk1.361111113I. Hermakivskyi3.007580LAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121WAug 21 · 12:00D. Neborak1.61811511102I. Hermakivskyi2.20119116123LAug 13 · 08:35O. Bondarchuk1.6771211113I. Hermakivskyi2.101110661LAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:35D. Neborak2.001111113I. Hermakivskyi1.731540
A. Yurkov10
WSep 15 · 12:30V. Marushchak1.83411561A. Yurkov1.8311511113LSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113LSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151LSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113LSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392LSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941
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