TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131173
Played Sep 15Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411115511611––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 64 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 60–88 Artem Yurkov Vitalii S Marushchak has won 60 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-88 in 148
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 28 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1838 vs Yurkov 1609
Marushchak
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 80% vs Yurkov 20%
Marushchak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 90% vs Yurkov 10%
Marushchak
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +4 · Yurkov -1
Marushchak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.83 / Yurkov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Marushchak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131173
Marushchak1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Yurkov1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak7wins
AwayYurkov3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak83.3%5 of 6
AwayYurkov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak6Yurkov4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S2Marushchak6Yurkov4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S3Marushchak4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak6Yurkov2n = 8Marushchak took 6 of 8
S5Marushchak3Yurkov2n = 5Marushchak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakYurkovM − YBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.435.9+6.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 647 vs 582 / 99049%58.8%317 / 647 vs 582 / 990Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.83/Yurkov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak4011117113A. Yurkov29941151
WSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak501171110113A. Yurkov4261171262
WSep 9 · 06:20V. Marushchak4011711113A. Yurkov34911681
WSep 8 · 16:10V. Marushchak50511811153A. Yurkov42114113132
WSep 7 · 15:40V. Marushchak568111115113A. Yurkov51116131382
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak50101191192A. Yurkov37122111113
LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak188460A. Yurkov331111113
LSep 1 · 17:00V. Marushchak4411611972A. Yurkov45811411113
WAug 31 · 11:40V. Marushchak331111113A. Yurkov144730
WAug 28 · 15:40V. Marushchak43111110113A. Yurkov32881241
V. Marushchak10
WSep 15 · 14:30V. Marushchak1.5311159113A. Hrabskyi2.383131171WSep 14 · 16:40V. Marushchak1.4471111113V. Voronenko2.63115221WSep 14 · 15:10V. Marushchak1.501111113O. Kolbasenko2.505580WSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151WSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751LSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113WSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892WSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680WSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980
A. Yurkov10
LSep 15 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi1.61111298123A. Yurkov2.206101111102LSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov2.10113941A. Lievshin1.6781111113WSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113LSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151LSep 14 · 12:40A. Yurkov1.7388111132A. Hrabskyi2.00111189113LSep 14 · 11:40O. Kolbasenko2.251111113A. Yurkov1.579760LSep 11 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.611181411113A. Yurkov2.2061116392LSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133LSep 11 · 14:10A. Hrabskyi1.91711119113A. Yurkov1.8011891172LSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941
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