TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126726
Played Sep 14Finished
Vitalii S Marushchak
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115112112––
Vladimir Voronenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii S Marushchak above · Vladimir Voronenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 60 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 67.7%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii S Marushchak 47–30 Vladimir Voronenko Vladimir Voronenko has won 30 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:47What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-30 in 77
Marushchak
Correct
gap of 17 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marushchak 1832 vs Voronenko 1647
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marushchak 80% vs Voronenko 20%
Marushchak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marushchak 90% vs Voronenko 40%
Marushchak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Marushchak +3 · Voronenko -1
Marushchak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Marushchak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voronenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarushchak 1.44 / Voronenko 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Marushchak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126726
Marushchak1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it83% 64 of 77
Voronenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 58 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarushchak6wins
AwayVoronenko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarushchak62.5%5 of 8
AwayVoronenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marushchak8Voronenko2n = 10Marushchak took 8 of 10
S2Marushchak5Voronenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Marushchak6Voronenko4n = 10Marushchak took 6 of 10
S4Marushchak4Voronenko3n = 7Marushchak took 4 of 7
S5Marushchak2Voronenko3n = 5Voronenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMarushchakVoronenkoM − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.234.2+7.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarushchakVoronenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 646 vs 236 / 53148.9%44.4%316 / 646 vs 236 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakMarushchak 1.44/Voronenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 16:40V. Marushchak331111113V. Voronenko125610
WSep 4 · 15:10V. Marushchak4211911113V. Voronenko27811441
WAug 31 · 15:10V. Marushchak481111411113V. Voronenko3413411512
LAug 28 · 16:40V. Marushchak51111611852V. Voronenko52518711113
WAug 24 · 15:10V. Marushchak331111113V. Voronenko133550
WAug 21 · 16:40V. Marushchak45116611113V. Voronenko4391111482
LAug 17 · 15:10V. Marushchak33118591V. Voronenko3851111113
WAug 10 · 13:10V. Marushchak351311113V. Voronenko2611960
LAug 7 · 15:10V. Marushchak49101211792V. Voronenko521210811113
LAug 3 · 12:10V. Marushchak4311581182V. Voronenko45911113113
V. Marushchak10
WSep 14 · 15:10V. Marushchak1.501111113O. Kolbasenko2.505580WSep 14 · 13:40V. Marushchak1.9111117113A. Yurkov1.80941151WSep 14 · 12:10V. Marushchak1.6711611113A. Lievshin2.10611751LSep 14 · 10:40V. Marushchak1.5385111272A. Hrabskyi2.381111410113WSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113WSep 11 · 15:40V. Marushchak1.67115511113A. Lievshin2.1081111892WSep 11 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.611111113O. Seliuchenko2.208680WSep 11 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Hrabskyi2.386980WSep 11 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.911171110113A. Yurkov1.8061171262WSep 9 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.835850V. Marushchak1.831111113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 14 · 15:40V. Voronenko2.75118681A. Yurkov1.4051111113WSep 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko2.25714412113A. Hrabskyi1.571112111062LSep 14 · 13:10V. Voronenko2.7571141152O. Kolbasenko1.40117114113LSep 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko2.00591111102A. Lievshin1.73111139123LSep 11 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.385610V. Marushchak1.531111113LSep 11 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.10871181A. Hrabskyi1.6711118113WSep 11 · 13:40V. Voronenko2.3811116133A. Lievshin1.535911111WSep 11 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.6311511113A. Yurkov1.44911941WSep 11 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.201111123O. Seliuchenko1.6157100LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113
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