Oleg Pavlyuk vs Illia Hermakivskyi 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13142714

Played Sep 17Finished

Oleg Pavlyuk

Home

1.80

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

114114117––––

Illia Hermakivskyi

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Illia Hermakivskyi to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingOleg Pavlyuk above · Illia Hermakivskyi below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-7

Point 48 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 54.0%

48 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:16

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Pavlyuk

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Pavlyuk 1545 vs Hermakivskyi 1657

Hermakivskyi

Wrong

both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pavlyuk 60% vs Hermakivskyi 40%

Pavlyuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pavlyuk 40% vs Hermakivskyi 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Pavlyuk +1 · Hermakivskyi -3

Hermakivskyi

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavlyuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hermakivskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPavlyuk 1.80 / Hermakivskyi 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Pavlyuk)+2.5pp

Setka Cup · #13142714

Pavlyuk1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Hermakivskyi1.91

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 11 of 26

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricPavlyukHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime18 / 48 vs 24 / 5437.5%44.4%18 / 48 vs 24 / 54Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pavlyuk

Pavlyuk 1.80/Hermakivskyi 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pavlyuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Pavlyuk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Pavlyuk10