TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11930800
Played May 23Finished
Serhii Rak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Oleg Pavlyuk
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSerhii Rak above · Oleg Pavlyuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Rak 1–0 Oleg Pavlyuk Oleg Pavlyuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlyuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 1.50 / Pavlyuk 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Rak)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930800
Rak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 277 of 422
Up 2–0, closes it93% 147 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it82% 196 of 240
Pavlyuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRak1wins
AwayPavlyuk0wins
Rak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRakPavlyukR − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.018.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakPavlyukBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 609 vs 40 / 9655%41.7%335 / 609 vs 40 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakRak 1.50/Pavlyuk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Rak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 19 · 17:05S. Rak—3O. Pavlyuk—0
S. Rak10
LSep 15 · 11:35S. Rak2.75211491O. Bindas1.4011911113WSep 15 · 09:35I. Kozachuk2.3886100S. Rak1.531111123LSep 15 · 07:35I. Romaniak2.631113911113S. Rak1.4491511562WSep 15 · 06:35S. Rak1.671111113D. Shcherbak2.102980LSep 15 · 05:35D. Pesternikov1.501111113S. Rak2.508670WSep 14 · 19:05S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635560WSep 14 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.5011119832S. Rak1.50891111113WSep 14 · 15:05O. Bindas1.332480S. Rak3.251111113WSep 14 · 14:05S. Rak1.67116411113D. Shcherbak2.1051111952LSep 14 · 13:05D. Pesternikov1.441111113S. Rak2.636510
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113WMay 23 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.831111118102O. Pavlyuk1.83136411123LMay 22 · 19:05O. Pavlyuk2.00711115102D. Shcherbak1.73115811123LMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.1011117113O. Pavlyuk1.67991141LMay 22 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.001111113O. Pavlyuk1.738840
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