TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11925605
Played May 22Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119711114––
Oleg Pavlyuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Oleg Pavlyuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4
73 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 1–1 Oleg Pavlyuk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pavlyuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlyuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 2.10 / Pavlyuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pavlyuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11925605
Kozachuk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 89 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 64
Pavlyuk1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKozachuk1wins
AwayPavlyuk1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKozachukPavlyukK − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.042.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukPavlyukBasisWin rate · lifetime669 / 1402 vs 37 / 9047.7%41.1%669 / 1402 vs 37 / 90Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavlyukKozachuk 2.10/Pavlyuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Pavlyuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 4 · 16:05I. Kozachuk—2O. Pavlyuk—3
WJul 4 · 24:00I. Kozachuk—3O. Pavlyuk—1
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 15 · 10:35I. Romaniak2.101011191I. Kozachuk1.6712118113LSep 15 · 09:35I. Kozachuk2.3886100S. Rak1.531111123WSep 15 · 08:35I. Kozachuk1.83115139113D. Shcherbak1.83511111192LSep 15 · 07:05I. Kozachuk2.101161141D. Pesternikov1.6751113113WSep 15 · 05:05I. Kozachuk2.501111113O. Bindas1.509880LSep 14 · 18:05O. Bindas1.4491111123I. Kozachuk2.631136101LSep 14 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.5011119832S. Rak1.50891111113LSep 14 · 16:05I. Kozachuk1.8010860D. Shcherbak1.911211113LSep 14 · 14:35I. Kozachuk2.00611691D. Pesternikov1.7311611113WSep 14 · 12:35I. Kozachuk1.671112143I. Romaniak2.10410120
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 11:35S. Rak1.501111113O. Pavlyuk2.509680LMay 23 · 10:05O. Pavlyuk2.385950A. Zeniuk1.531111113WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113WMay 23 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.831111118102O. Pavlyuk1.83136411123LMay 22 · 19:05O. Pavlyuk2.00711115102D. Shcherbak1.73115811123LMay 22 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.001111113O. Pavlyuk1.738840
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