TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11930329
Played May 23Finished
Oleg Pavlyuk
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911511––––
Andrii Zeniuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleg Pavlyuk above · Andrii Zeniuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Pavlyuk 1–3 Andrii Zeniuk Oleg Pavlyuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavlyuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavlyuk 2.38 / Zeniuk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Zeniuk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11930329
Pavlyuk2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zeniuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite69% won 73 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePavlyuk1wins
AwayZeniuk3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderZeniuk leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavlyuk33.3%1 of 3
AwayZeniukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavlyuk3Zeniuk1n = 4Pavlyuk took 3 of 4
S2Pavlyuk1Zeniuk3n = 4Zeniuk took 3 of 4
S3Pavlyuk1Zeniuk3n = 4Zeniuk took 3 of 4
S4Pavlyuk2Zeniuk2n = 4split evenly
S5Pavlyuk1Zeniuk2n = 3Zeniuk took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPavlyukZeniukP − ZBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.546.5−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavlyukZeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 95 vs 315 / 63242.1%49.8%40 / 95 vs 315 / 632Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeniukPavlyuk 2.38/Zeniuk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Zeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 22 · 14:05O. Pavlyuk—2A. Zeniuk—3
WJul 5 · 06:35O. Pavlyuk—3A. Zeniuk—2
LJul 4 · 17:35O. Pavlyuk—1A. Zeniuk—3
LJul 4 · 02:30O. Pavlyuk—2A. Zeniuk—3
O. Pavlyuk10
WSep 17 · 15:00D. Neborak1.731212128122O. Pavlyuk2.0014101011143WSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470WSep 17 · 13:00O. Ivchuk1.6111119832O. Pavlyuk2.20691111113LMay 23 · 11:35S. Rak1.501111113O. Pavlyuk2.509680WMay 23 · 08:05Y. Kravets2.2068100O. Pavlyuk1.611111123WMay 23 · 06:05V. Plishylo1.83121171142O. Pavlyuk1.831091113113WMay 23 · 05:05I. Kozachuk1.831111118102O. Pavlyuk1.83136411123LMay 22 · 19:05O. Pavlyuk2.00711115102D. Shcherbak1.73115811123LMay 22 · 17:05I. Kozachuk2.1011117113O. Pavlyuk1.67991141LMay 22 · 15:05V. Plishylo2.001111113O. Pavlyuk1.738840
A. Zeniuk10
LSep 8 · 11:35B. Kohut1.25115911113A. Zeniuk3.7571111882LSep 8 · 10:05A. Zeniuk2.7511761232D. Zeniuk1.408111110113LSep 8 · 08:05V. Verbyany1.201311113A. Zeniuk4.3311180LSep 8 · 06:05A. Molochko1.17111111113A. Zeniuk4.50138281LSep 8 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.0811119113A. Zeniuk7.00661131LSep 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany1.221111113A. Zeniuk4.006670LSep 7 · 17:35B. Kohut1.2512512113A. Zeniuk3.7510111071LSep 7 · 16:05N. Danyliuk1.081114113A. Zeniuk7.0071280LSep 7 · 14:05D. Zeniuk1.4451111113A. Zeniuk2.63117891LSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272
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